TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13124464
Played Sep 14Finished
Vlastimil Pecka
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711711811––––
Kyryl Darin
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:42 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKyryl Darin to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVlastimil Pecka above · Kyryl Darin below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 55 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Kyryl Darin at 54.0%
55 points played in total.
H2H Vlastimil Pecka 5–3 Kyryl Darin Kyryl Darin has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:42What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Darin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-3 in 8
Pecka
Wrong
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pecka 1324 vs Darin 1461
Darin
Correct
both rated, 138 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pecka 20% vs Darin 40%
Darin
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pecka 30% vs Darin 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pecka -4 · Darin -2
Pecka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pecka) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Darin form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPecka 1.83 / Darin 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Pecka)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13124464
Pecka1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Darin1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomePecka5wins
AwayDarin3wins
3 of 8 to a deciderPecka leads 5–3, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePecka66.7%2 of 3
AwayDarin40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pecka3Darin5n = 8Darin took 5 of 8
S2Pecka3Darin5n = 8Darin took 5 of 8
S3Pecka6Darin2n = 8Pecka took 6 of 8
S4Pecka4Darin2n = 6Pecka took 4 of 6
S5Pecka2Darin1n = 3Pecka took 2 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricPeckaDarinP − DBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set35−2of 8Avg pointsper match40.538.1+2.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPeckaDarinBasisWin rate · lifetime31 / 77 vs 756 / 155240.3%48.7%31 / 77 vs 756 / 1552Avg sets wonper match1.62.0per matchAvg pointsper match33.937.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PeckaPecka 1.83/Darin 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Pecka · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Darin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LJun 4 · 13:30V. Pecka38913791K. Darin44111111113
WJun 4 · 12:00V. Pecka4011711113K. Darin32511971
LMay 6 · 13:29V. Pecka48117111092K. Darin46511712113
WMay 6 · 12:00V. Pecka49871111123K. Darin48111197102
WApr 28 · 09:00V. Pecka341211113K. Darin2710890
LApr 28 · 08:30V. Pecka2365120K. Darin361111143
WSep 28 · 18:00V. Pecka4181111113K. Darin30115591
WJul 5 · 18:00V. Pecka511171111113K. Darin4213113782
V. Pecka10
LSep 14 · 11:00V. Pecka2.0081060A. Svoboda1.731112113LSep 14 · 10:00J. Steffan1.7391111113V. Pecka2.00113741LJul 22 · 13:29J. Steffan2.0011411113V. Pecka1.73811991LJul 22 · 12:00J. Steffan1.911111811113V. Pecka1.8091311582WJul 22 · 11:00M. Stefek2.501514111V. Pecka1.50111112133WJul 22 · 10:30V. Pecka1.614111111113R. Hasmanda2.2011137622LJul 1 · 17:10V. Pecka1.831111681M. Fisera1.8391311113WJul 1 · 16:00V. Pecka1.831211113D. Horak1.8310940LJul 1 · 15:30M. Fisera2.20131511113V. Pecka1.611513621LJul 1 · 14:00V. Pecka1.736560M. Kolar2.001111113
K. Darin10
LSep 14 · 11:30K. Darin1.61281281J. Steffan2.20111110113LSep 14 · 10:30A. Svoboda2.63117311113K. Darin1.4491111792WSep 14 · 09:30J. Jnr1.90971161K. Darin1.8011115113WSep 14 · 08:00K. Darin1.531111113A. Svoboda2.387380LSep 14 · 07:30J. Jnr2.101111113K. Darin1.679960WSep 14 · 06:00K. Darin1.44911911133M. Stefek2.63117112112LSep 13 · 13:05F. Jungman1.55111199113K. Darin2.3077111152WSep 13 · 12:30J. Prokupek1.5015661192K. Darin2.501311111113LSep 13 · 11:30K. Darin3.5010960T. Vinter1.281211113LSep 13 · 10:30F. Jungman1.7311116113K. Darin2.00851141
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