TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13154386
Played Sep 19Finished
Jaroslav Prokupek
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171210116––––
Petr Budinsky
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:52 and never touched — 57.1% is still 57.1%
Graded at full timePetr Budinsky to win
57.1%
57.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJaroslav Prokupek above · Petr Budinsky below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 57 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Petr Budinsky at 57.1%
57 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Prokupek 7–8 Petr Budinsky Jaroslav Prokupek has won 7 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:52What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Budinsky
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-8 in 15
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prokupek 1525 vs Budinsky 1509
Prokupek
Correct
both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prokupek 60% vs Budinsky 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prokupek 60% vs Budinsky 40%
Prokupek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Prokupek +1 · Budinsky +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Budinsky) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prokupek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsProkupek 2.50 / Budinsky 1.50
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Prokupek)+4.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13154386
Prokupek2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 91 of 229
Down 0–1, comes back16% 18 of 114
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 71
Budinsky1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 23 of 42
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it64% 14 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeProkupek6wins
AwayBudinsky4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderProkupek leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeProkupek57.1%4 of 7
AwayBudinsky33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prokupek7Budinsky3n = 10Prokupek took 7 of 10
S2Prokupek2Budinsky8n = 10Budinsky took 8 of 10
S3Prokupek5Budinsky5n = 10split evenly
S4Prokupek5Budinsky3n = 8Prokupek took 5 of 8
S5Prokupek3Budinsky1n = 4Prokupek took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricProkupekBudinskyP − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.041.0−1.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricProkupekBudinskyBasisWin rate · lifetime667 / 1396 vs 80 / 16247.8%49.4%667 / 1396 vs 80 / 162Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.535.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BudinskyProkupek 2.50/Budinsky 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.1%
Budinsky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Prokupek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 19 · 23:00J. Prokupek341112113P. Budinsky2371060
WSep 18 · 19:00J. Prokupek49881111113P. Budinsky4511117882
WMay 24 · 18:00J. Prokupek3811411123P. Budinsky399119101
LMay 23 · 17:30J. Prokupek33147391P. Budinsky45121111113
WMay 23 · 15:00J. Prokupek521112611123P. Budinsky50614119102
LApr 26 · 14:00J. Prokupek35116991P. Budinsky4181111113
LApr 25 · 19:30J. Prokupek2881190P. Budinsky351113113
WApr 7 · 23:30J. Prokupek551013138113P. Budinsky531211111182
WApr 7 · 17:30J. Prokupek3711411113P. Budinsky31711581
LApr 7 · 15:30J. Prokupek3911941142P. Budinsky48911116113
J. Prokupek10
WSep 19 · 22:00R. Pavelka1.611165101J. Prokupek2.2061111123LSep 18 · 21:29R. Pavelka1.73116118113J. Prokupek2.0051121152LSep 18 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.91115671J. Dedek1.8071111113WSep 18 · 19:00J. Prokupek2.25881111113P. Budinsky1.5711117882WSep 18 · 18:00R. Pavelka1.73111141192J. Prokupek2.00139117113WSep 15 · 20:58L. Krok2.107770J. Prokupek1.671111113WSep 15 · 20:30Y. Holovatiuk2.006117111J. Prokupek1.7311911133LSep 15 · 19:30J. Prokupek1.539370K. Darin2.381111113LSep 15 · 18:30L. Krok2.3851111113J. Prokupek1.53119761WSep 15 · 08:59M. Vesely1.448990J. Prokupek2.631111113
P. Budinsky10
WSep 19 · 16:59P. Budinsky1.4091111123K. Novak2.751138101WSep 19 · 16:30P. Budinsky1.361111113K. Novak3.008750LSep 19 · 15:00P. Budinsky1.61415611112Y. Holovatiuk2.201113114133LSep 19 · 14:00J. Trefny2.100101111113P. Budinsky1.6711129862WSep 18 · 20:58P. Budinsky1.3611117113J. Dedek3.00831161LSep 18 · 20:00R. Pavelka2.50412118113P. Budinsky1.50111031172LSep 18 · 19:00J. Prokupek2.25881111113P. Budinsky1.5711117882WSep 18 · 18:30P. Budinsky1.441111113J. Dedek2.638950LAug 30 · 16:58D. Tuma1.5311116113P. Budinsky2.38801131LAug 30 · 16:30M. Nohejl1.731111113P. Budinsky2.008570
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