TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13154002
Played Sep 20Finished
Daniel Kouble
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119911511117811
Petr Budinsky
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:13 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDaniel Kouble to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDaniel Kouble above · Petr Budinsky below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 93 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Daniel Kouble at 54.0%
93 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:13What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kouble
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Kouble 1533 vs Budinsky 1495
Kouble
Wrong
both rated, 38 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kouble 60% vs Budinsky 40%
Kouble
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kouble 40% vs Budinsky 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kouble +1 · Budinsky -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kouble)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Budinsky form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKouble 1.80 / Budinsky 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kouble)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13154002
Kouble1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite52% won 14 of 27
Up 2–0, closes it86% 6 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it60% 9 of 15
Budinsky1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog38% won 14 of 37
Down 0–1, comes back6% 1 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKoubleBudinskyBasisWin rate · lifetime104 / 216 vs 80 / 16348.2%49.1%104 / 216 vs 80 / 163Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.035.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KoubleKouble 1.80/Budinsky 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kouble · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Budinsky won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
D. Kouble10
WSep 20 · 24:30J. Prokupek2.205750D. Kouble1.611111113LSep 19 · 23:30R. Pavelka2.201411113D. Kouble1.6112540WSep 19 · 22:30D. Kouble1.6711611133J. Trefny2.109115111LSep 10 · 02:00A. Hlawatschke1.8311611113D. Kouble1.83811481WSep 10 · 24:30D. Kouble1.7313811113V. Cermak2.001111781LSep 9 · 23:00D. Kouble2.63861241J. Hradecky1.44111110113LSep 9 · 22:00M. Vedmoch2.201211113D. Kouble1.6110560WSep 8 · 03:30J. Prokupek2.25145661D. Kouble1.57121111113LSep 8 · 01:30D. Kouble1.83112121112J. Dedek1.83811147113LSep 8 · 24:30J. Prokupek2.25118119143D. Kouble1.57911711122
P. Budinsky10
LSep 20 · 02:30P. Budinsky1.73811111162R. Pavelka2.00113134113LSep 20 · 24:00P. Budinsky1.61111111482J. Trefny2.20813911113LSep 19 · 23:00J. Prokupek2.501112113P. Budinsky1.5071060WSep 19 · 16:59P. Budinsky1.4091111123K. Novak2.751138101WSep 19 · 16:30P. Budinsky1.361111113K. Novak3.008750LSep 19 · 15:00P. Budinsky1.61415611112Y. Holovatiuk2.201113114133LSep 19 · 14:00J. Trefny2.100101111113P. Budinsky1.6711129862WSep 18 · 20:58P. Budinsky1.3611117113J. Dedek3.00831161LSep 18 · 20:00R. Pavelka2.50412118113P. Budinsky1.50111031172LSep 18 · 19:00J. Prokupek2.25881111113P. Budinsky1.5711117882
Upcoming Matches
D. Kouble
Nothing scheduled
P. Budinsky
Event Chatroom
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