TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Vladimir Postelt
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711119115116––
Petr Budinsky
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:29 and never touched — 64.1% is still 64.1%
Graded at full timeVladimir Postelt to win
64.1%
64.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladimir Postelt above · Petr Budinsky below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 71 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Vladimir Postelt at 64.1%
71 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Postelt 6–3 Petr Budinsky Petr Budinsky has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:29What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Postelt
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-3 in 9
Postelt
Correct
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Postelt 1502 vs Budinsky 1479
Postelt
Correct
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Postelt 80% vs Budinsky 40%
Postelt
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Postelt 70% vs Budinsky 40%
Postelt
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Postelt +1 · Budinsky -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Postelt) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Budinsky form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPostelt 1.80 / Budinsky 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Postelt)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13159812
Postelt1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 7 days ago (Sep 14) · back after a break
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 119 of 190
Up 2–0, closes it97% 57 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it86% 92 of 107
Budinsky1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 15 of 38
Down 0–1, comes back11% 2 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomePostelt6wins
AwayBudinsky3wins
1 of 9 to a deciderPostelt leads 6–3, and 1 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePostelt100%6 of 6
AwayBudinsky100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Postelt6Budinsky3n = 9Postelt took 6 of 9
S2Postelt6Budinsky3n = 9Postelt took 6 of 9
S3Postelt6Budinsky3n = 9Postelt took 6 of 9
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home556%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricPosteltBudinskyP − BBasisWins63+3in 9 meetingsFirst set63+3of 9Avg pointsper match33.126.3+6.8per matchSweeps52+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPosteltBudinskyBasisWin rate · lifetime430 / 815 vs 81 / 16552.8%49.1%430 / 815 vs 81 / 165Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.535.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PosteltPostelt 1.80/Budinsky 1.91
Miss
What we said
54%
Postelt · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Postelt won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WJun 7 · 24:30V. Postelt331111113P. Budinsky124620
LMay 23 · 14:30V. Postelt227780P. Budinsky331111113
LApr 8 · 24:30V. Postelt216960P. Budinsky331111113
WMar 15 · 21:00V. Postelt46111110143P. Budinsky399612121
WJan 31 · 04:20V. Postelt341111123P. Budinsky2697100
WJan 31 · 01:00V. Postelt341111123P. Budinsky1743100
WJan 17 · 02:00V. Postelt331111113P. Budinsky155730
LJan 12 · 01:00V. Postelt4266111182P. Budinsky40111134113
WDec 24 · 03:30V. Postelt331111113P. Budinsky226790
V. Postelt10
WSep 14 · 03:30V. Postelt1.651111113J. Plachy2.071540LSep 14 · 02:30V. Postelt1.3687111182J. Dedek3.00111144113WSep 14 · 01:30P. Fojt2.759680V. Postelt1.401111113WSep 14 · 24:00V. Postelt1.6111415163J. Plachy2.2011113141WSep 13 · 23:00J. Prokupek1.911186101V. Postelt1.8051111123LSep 10 · 13:30T. Vinter1.601111113V. Postelt2.206870WSep 10 · 12:30M. Kolar2.0010750V. Postelt1.731211113WSep 10 · 11:30V. Postelt1.501111113J. Dedek2.508470LSep 10 · 10:30T. Vinter1.731111113V. Postelt2.009860WSep 9 · 02:00R. Pavelka2.2011981172V. Postelt1.61711119113
P. Budinsky10
LSep 20 · 02:30P. Budinsky1.73811111162R. Pavelka2.00113134113WSep 20 · 01:30D. Kouble1.8011951182P. Budinsky1.91911117113LSep 20 · 24:00P. Budinsky1.61111111482J. Trefny2.20813911113LSep 19 · 23:00J. Prokupek2.501112113P. Budinsky1.5071060WSep 19 · 16:59P. Budinsky1.4091111123K. Novak2.751138101WSep 19 · 16:30P. Budinsky1.361111113K. Novak3.008750LSep 19 · 15:00P. Budinsky1.61415611112Y. Holovatiuk2.201113114133LSep 19 · 14:00J. Trefny2.100101111113P. Budinsky1.6711129862WSep 18 · 20:58P. Budinsky1.3611117113J. Dedek3.00831161LSep 18 · 20:00R. Pavelka2.50412118113P. Budinsky1.50111031172
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