TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Petr Budinsky
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
4111012116611––
Jakub Stolfa
Away
1.72
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:14 and never touched — 69.9% is still 69.9%
Graded at full timePetr Budinsky to win
69.9%
69.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPetr Budinsky above · Jakub Stolfa below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 71 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Petr Budinsky at 69.9%
71 points played in total.
H2H Petr Budinsky 0–1 Jakub Stolfa Petr Budinsky has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:14What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.72 (54%)
Stolfa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Budinsky 1479 vs Stolfa 1590
Stolfa
Correct
both rated, 111 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Budinsky 20% vs Stolfa 60%
Stolfa
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Budinsky 40% vs Stolfa 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Budinsky -2 · Stolfa +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Stolfa) · live re-read · sealed at 30% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Budinsky form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBudinsky 2.00 / Stolfa 1.72
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Stolfa)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13164642
Budinsky2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 15 of 38
Down 0–1, comes back11% 2 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 13
Stolfa1.72
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite51% won 74 of 144
Up 2–0, closes it100% 30 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it77% 48 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeBudinsky0wins
AwayStolfa1wins
Stolfa leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricBudinskyStolfaB − SBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.041.0−8.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBudinskyStolfaBasisWin rate · lifetime81 / 166 vs 190 / 37348.8%50.9%81 / 166 vs 190 / 373Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.937.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StolfaBudinsky 2.00/Stolfa 1.72
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.6%
Stolfa · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Stolfa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 30 · 06:30P. Budinsky33114991J. Stolfa4181111113
P. Budinsky10
LSep 20 · 18:00V. Postelt1.8071111113P. Budinsky1.91119561LSep 20 · 02:30P. Budinsky1.73811111162R. Pavelka2.00113134113WSep 20 · 01:30D. Kouble1.8011951182P. Budinsky1.91911117113LSep 20 · 24:00P. Budinsky1.61111111482J. Trefny2.20813911113LSep 19 · 23:00J. Prokupek2.501112113P. Budinsky1.5071060WSep 19 · 16:59P. Budinsky1.4091111123K. Novak2.751138101WSep 19 · 16:30P. Budinsky1.361111113K. Novak3.008750LSep 19 · 15:00P. Budinsky1.61415611112Y. Holovatiuk2.201113114133LSep 19 · 14:00J. Trefny2.100101111113P. Budinsky1.6711129862WSep 18 · 20:58P. Budinsky1.3611117113J. Dedek3.00831161
J. Stolfa10
WSep 20 · 18:30J. Stolfa1.801111113R. Pavelka1.909760WSep 20 · 16:58J. Holubec1.9191111182J. Stolfa1.80114113113LSep 20 · 16:30J. Stolfa2.10511681T. Holik1.6711611113LSep 20 · 15:00J. Stolfa1.915770D. Tuma1.801111113WSep 20 · 14:00J. Holubec1.57881181J. Stolfa2.2511116113LSep 18 · 09:00M. Vizek1.6111118113J. Stolfa2.20751171LSep 18 · 08:30J. Stolfa1.8091161162M. Sobisek1.91113114113LSep 18 · 07:00J. Stolfa2.101279101M. Vizek1.67101111123LSep 18 · 06:00J. Svoboda1.731111113J. Stolfa2.008770LSep 17 · 08:58J. Stolfa1.809970D. Tuma1.911111113
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