TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Jakub Stolfa
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119117116––––
Radim Pavelka
Away
1.90
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:15 and never touched — 59.9% is still 59.9%
Graded at full timeRadim Pavelka to win
59.9%
59.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJakub Stolfa above · Radim Pavelka below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 55 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Radim Pavelka at 59.9%
55 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Stolfa 10–6 Radim Pavelka Radim Pavelka has won 6 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:15What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Stolfa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-6 in 16
Stolfa
Correct
gap of 4 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stolfa 1556 vs Pavelka 1571
Pavelka
Wrong
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stolfa 40% vs Pavelka 60%
Pavelka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stolfa 30% vs Pavelka 70%
Pavelka
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stolfa +1 · Pavelka +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pavelka) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stolfa form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStolfa 1.80 / Pavelka 1.90
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Pavelka)+5.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13164644
Stolfa1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite51% won 74 of 144
Up 2–0, closes it100% 30 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it77% 48 of 62
Pavelka1.90
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 68 of 163
Down 0–1, comes back25% 23 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStolfa7wins
AwayPavelka3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderStolfa leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStolfa100%4 of 4
AwayPavelka50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stolfa4Pavelka6n = 10Pavelka took 6 of 10
S2Stolfa2Pavelka8n = 10Pavelka took 8 of 10
S3Stolfa7Pavelka3n = 10Stolfa took 7 of 10
S4Stolfa5Pavelka2n = 7Stolfa took 5 of 7
S5Stolfa3Pavelka0n = 3Stolfa took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricStolfaPavelkaS − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.435.5+1.9per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStolfaPavelkaBasisWin rate · lifetime189 / 372 vs 447 / 87850.8%50.9%189 / 372 vs 447 / 878Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PavelkaStolfa 1.80/Pavelka 1.90
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Pavelka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Stolfa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 23 · 20:00J. Stolfa3951211113R. Pavelka341110851
WAug 22 · 09:30J. Stolfa4111811113R. Pavelka28511841
WAug 22 · 07:00J. Stolfa46115118113R. Pavelka4061141182
LAug 16 · 21:04J. Stolfa227780R. Pavelka331111113
LAug 16 · 18:00J. Stolfa239770R. Pavelka331111113
WAug 14 · 11:30J. Stolfa49691211113R. Pavelka42111110552
WAug 13 · 17:07J. Stolfa451121110113R. Pavelka4281151262
WAug 13 · 16:00J. Stolfa4291111113R. Pavelka29114681
WJul 26 · 18:30J. Stolfa43111011113R. Pavelka38912981
LJul 24 · 21:30J. Stolfa24310110R. Pavelka361112133
J. Stolfa10
WSep 20 · 19:00P. Budinsky2.004101161J. Stolfa1.7211126113WSep 20 · 16:58J. Holubec1.9191111182J. Stolfa1.80114113113LSep 20 · 16:30J. Stolfa2.10511681T. Holik1.6711611113LSep 20 · 15:00J. Stolfa1.915770D. Tuma1.801111113WSep 20 · 14:00J. Holubec1.57881181J. Stolfa2.2511116113LSep 18 · 09:00M. Vizek1.6111118113J. Stolfa2.20751171LSep 18 · 08:30J. Stolfa1.8091161162M. Sobisek1.91113114113LSep 18 · 07:00J. Stolfa2.101279101M. Vizek1.67101111123LSep 18 · 06:00J. Svoboda1.731111113J. Stolfa2.008770LSep 17 · 08:58J. Stolfa1.809970D. Tuma1.911111113
R. Pavelka10
WSep 20 · 19:30R. Pavelka1.911111113V. Postelt1.807570WSep 20 · 03:00R. Pavelka1.7391111143J. Prokupek2.001158121WSep 20 · 02:30P. Budinsky1.73811111162R. Pavelka2.00113134113LSep 20 · 01:00J. Trefny1.9111116113R. Pavelka1.80481141WSep 19 · 23:30R. Pavelka2.201411113D. Kouble1.6112540LSep 19 · 22:00R. Pavelka1.611165101J. Prokupek2.2061111123WSep 18 · 21:29R. Pavelka1.73116118113J. Prokupek2.0051121152WSep 18 · 20:00R. Pavelka2.50412118113P. Budinsky1.50111031172WSep 18 · 19:30J. Dedek2.0071131572R. Pavelka1.731131113113LSep 18 · 18:00R. Pavelka1.73111141192J. Prokupek2.00139117113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.