TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Jakub Stolfa
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511711711––––
Daniel Tuma
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:27 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDaniel Tuma to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Stolfa above · Daniel Tuma below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 52 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Daniel Tuma at 54.0%
52 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Stolfa 20–15 Daniel Tuma Daniel Tuma has won 15 of their 35 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:27What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Tuma
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-15 in 35
Stolfa
Wrong
gap of 5 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stolfa 1553 vs Tuma 1587
Tuma
Correct
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stolfa 20% vs Tuma 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stolfa 20% vs Tuma 40%
Tuma
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stolfa +1 · Tuma -3
Tuma
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Tuma)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tuma form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStolfa 1.91 / Tuma 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Tuma)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13160051
Stolfa1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog51% won 59 of 116
Down 0–1, comes back36% 24 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 31
Tuma1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 128 of 208
Up 2–0, closes it93% 65 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it77% 96 of 124
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStolfa3wins
AwayTuma7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderTuma leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStolfan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayTuma87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stolfa2Tuma8n = 10Tuma took 8 of 10
S2Stolfa2Tuma8n = 10Tuma took 8 of 10
S3Stolfa5Tuma5n = 10split evenly
S4Stolfa7Tuma0n = 7Stolfa took 7 of 7
S5Stolfa1Tuma4n = 5Tuma took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricStolfaTumaS − TBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match39.340.0−0.7per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStolfaTumaBasisWin rate · lifetime188 / 369 vs 771 / 147451%52.3%188 / 369 vs 771 / 1474Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TumaStolfa 1.91/Tuma 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Tuma · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Tuma won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 17 · 08:58J. Stolfa259970D. Tuma331111113
WSep 17 · 08:00J. Stolfa43111011113D. Tuma23412611
WSep 9 · 20:30J. Stolfa4291111113D. Tuma32118581
LSep 3 · 16:00J. Stolfa239770D. Tuma331111113
LSep 1 · 18:00J. Stolfa4486111182D. Tuma48111187113
LAug 26 · 13:30J. Stolfa331013100D. Tuma391215123
WAug 26 · 12:00J. Stolfa46114911113D. Tuma4561111892
LAug 23 · 21:30J. Stolfa49811911102D. Tuma46114118123
LAug 23 · 18:00J. Stolfa4889111282D. Tuma521111910113
LAug 22 · 06:30J. Stolfa4075111252D. Tuma491111610113
J. Stolfa10
WSep 20 · 14:00J. Holubec1.57881181J. Stolfa2.2511116113LSep 18 · 09:00M. Vizek1.6111118113J. Stolfa2.20751171LSep 18 · 08:30J. Stolfa1.8091161162M. Sobisek1.91113114113LSep 18 · 07:00J. Stolfa2.101279101M. Vizek1.67101111123LSep 18 · 06:00J. Svoboda1.731111113J. Stolfa2.008770LSep 17 · 08:58J. Stolfa1.809970D. Tuma1.911111113WSep 17 · 08:00D. Tuma1.83412611J. Stolfa1.83111011113LSep 17 · 07:00M. Volf2.1071111113J. Stolfa1.67118771LSep 17 · 06:30J. Stolfa1.8311711652P. Zmuda1.83611811113LSep 15 · 12:59J. Stolfa1.8088130J. Svoboda1.911111153
D. Tuma10
LSep 20 · 14:30D. Tuma1.83101111352T. Holik1.83129811113LSep 19 · 02:00P. Pycha1.57101111113D. Tuma2.25125911LSep 19 · 24:30D. Tuma2.639450J. Holubec1.441111113WSep 18 · 23:00D. Tuma2.7561111113M. Sychra1.40119991LSep 18 · 22:00J. Hradecky1.7381411113D. Tuma2.001112251WSep 18 · 02:59R. Krejci1.83411931D. Tuma1.8311811113WSep 18 · 02:30D. Tuma2.2011111010173A. Hlawatschke1.61691212152LSep 18 · 01:30V. Cermak1.6771111113D. Tuma2.10119771WSep 17 · 08:58J. Stolfa1.809970D. Tuma1.911111113LSep 17 · 08:00D. Tuma1.83412611J. Stolfa1.83111011113
Upcoming Matches
J. Stolfa
D. Tuma
Sep 20 · 23:00D. Tuma—M. Sobisek——Sep 21 · 24:00D. Tuma—M. Vizek——Sep 21 · 01:30D. Tuma—P. Pycha——Sep 21 · 02:30D. Tuma—M. Chlebecek——Sep 21 · 18:00D. Tuma—T. Janata——Sep 21 · 19:30D. Tuma—T. Vinter——Sep 21 · 20:00D. Tuma—J. Stolfa——Sep 21 · 22:30D. Tuma—R. Krejci——Sep 21 · 23:30D. Tuma—M. Vedmoch——Sep 22 · 24:30D. Tuma—P. Zmuda——
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