TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13147123
Played Sep 19Finished
Daniel Tuma
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911411511––––
Jiri Holubec
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Holubec to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDaniel Tuma above · Jiri Holubec below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 51 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Jiri Holubec at 54.0%
51 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:59What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Holubec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Tuma 1621 vs Holubec 1651
Holubec
Correct
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tuma 60% vs Holubec 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tuma 60% vs Holubec 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tuma +1 · Holubec +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Holubec) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tuma form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTuma 2.63 / Holubec 1.44
Signal prob.36% / 65%
Edge (Holubec)-0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13147123
Tuma2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog48% won 167 of 351
Down 0–1, comes back30% 55 of 186
Down 0–2, comes back11% 11 of 97
Holubec1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite73% won 16 of 22
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it85% 11 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricTumaHolubecBasisWin rate · lifetime772 / 1475 vs 39 / 8152.3%48.2%772 / 1475 vs 39 / 81Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HolubecTuma 2.63/Holubec 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.5%
Holubec · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Holubec won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
D. Tuma10
WSep 18 · 23:00D. Tuma2.7561111113M. Sychra1.40119991LSep 18 · 22:00J. Hradecky1.7381411113D. Tuma2.001112251WSep 18 · 02:59R. Krejci1.83411931D. Tuma1.8311811113WSep 18 · 02:30D. Tuma2.2011111010173A. Hlawatschke1.61691212152LSep 18 · 01:30V. Cermak1.6771111113D. Tuma2.10119771LSep 18 · 24:00D. Tuma1.61136100R. Krejci2.201511123WSep 17 · 23:00F. Just2.756980D. Tuma1.401111113WSep 17 · 08:58J. Stolfa1.809970D. Tuma1.911111113LSep 17 · 08:00D. Tuma1.83412611J. Stolfa1.83111011113WSep 17 · 07:30P. Zmuda1.83913111092D. Tuma1.831111812113
J. Holubec10
LSep 19 · 01:30J. Holubec1.807111081M. Sychra1.9111312113WSep 18 · 23:30J. Hradecky2.007550J. Holubec1.731111113LSep 18 · 22:30J. Holubec1.6789110P. Pycha2.101111133LAug 28 · 09:30J. Holubec1.80111112101M. Holub1.8013714123WAug 28 · 08:00M. Holub1.73111061292J. Holubec2.008121110113WAug 28 · 07:00J. Simecek2.201510661J. Holubec1.61131211113WAug 28 · 06:30J. Holubec1.671111113D. Unzeitig2.106940LAug 24 · 17:30J. Holubec1.4411750T. Kypr2.601311113WAug 24 · 16:00J. Holubec1.73811119113D. Unzeitig2.0011481132WAug 24 · 15:30J. Simecek2.2012115842J. Holubec1.611091111113
Upcoming Matches
D. Tuma
Nothing scheduled
J. Holubec
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