TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13140365
Played Sep 18Finished
Daniel Tuma
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
13156111012––––
Richard Krejci
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:02 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeDaniel Tuma to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDaniel Tuma above · Richard Krejci below
Set 1 · 13-15
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 67 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Daniel Tuma at 58.1%
67 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Tuma 17–11 Richard Krejci Richard Krejci has won 11 of their 28 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:02What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Tuma
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-11 in 28
Tuma
Wrong
gap of 6 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tuma 1602 vs Krejci 1571
Tuma
Wrong
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tuma 60% vs Krejci 0%
Tuma
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tuma 60% vs Krejci 30%
Tuma
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tuma +2 · Krejci -5
Krejci
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Tuma)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krejci form (0%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTuma 1.61 / Krejci 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Tuma)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13140365
Tuma1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 127 of 208
Up 2–0, closes it93% 64 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it77% 95 of 123
Krejci2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 26 of 70
Down 0–1, comes back18% 7 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTuma6wins
AwayKrejci4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderTuma leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTuma80%4 of 5
AwayKrejci60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tuma5Krejci5n = 10split evenly
S2Tuma5Krejci5n = 10split evenly
S3Tuma7Krejci3n = 10Tuma took 7 of 10
S4Tuma3Krejci2n = 5Tuma took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricTumaKrejciT − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.832.9+0.9per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTumaKrejciBasisWin rate · lifetime771 / 1475 vs 188 / 35552.3%53%771 / 1475 vs 188 / 355Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.636.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TumaTuma 1.61/Krejci 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.1%
Tuma · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Krejci won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 15 · 01:30D. Tuma331111113R. Krejci206860
LSep 13 · 01:00D. Tuma144640R. Krejci331111113
WSep 1 · 03:28D. Tuma4111811113R. Krejci37911891
LSep 1 · 24:00D. Tuma186570R. Krejci331111113
LAug 25 · 01:00D. Tuma4511714492R. Krejci549111211113
WJul 29 · 22:00D. Tuma331111113R. Krejci204790
WJul 26 · 23:00D. Tuma44111111113R. Krejci34139841
WJul 25 · 02:30D. Tuma331111113R. Krejci207580
LJul 3 · 01:00D. Tuma30671161R. Krejci3711114113
WJan 20 · 01:00D. Tuma47611811113R. Krejci4111411782
D. Tuma10
WSep 17 · 23:00F. Just2.756980D. Tuma1.401111113WSep 17 · 08:58J. Stolfa1.809970D. Tuma1.911111113LSep 17 · 08:00D. Tuma1.83412611J. Stolfa1.83111011113WSep 17 · 07:30P. Zmuda1.83913111092D. Tuma1.831111812113LSep 17 · 06:00D. Tuma1.83761551M. Volf1.83111113113LSep 15 · 03:30P. Pycha1.601111123D. Tuma2.2055100WSep 15 · 01:30D. Tuma1.671111113R. Krejci2.106860WSep 15 · 24:30M. Volf2.00811119102D. Tuma1.73117611123WSep 14 · 23:30P. Pycha1.5761171192D. Tuma2.25119117113LSep 14 · 22:30D. Tuma2.2010116131A. Hlawatschke1.6112411153
R. Krejci10
LSep 18 · 01:00R. Krejci3.0091111532A. Hlawatschke1.36117811113LSep 17 · 22:30V. Cermak1.671111113R. Krejci2.105240LSep 15 · 02:30R. Krejci2.38108111262P. Pycha1.531211910113LSep 15 · 01:30D. Tuma1.671111113R. Krejci2.106860LSep 15 · 24:00R. Krejci3.00113115112A. Hlawatschke1.36711711133LSep 14 · 23:00M. Volf1.911111113R. Krejci1.808950WSep 13 · 03:28P. Pycha1.807101181R. Krejci1.9111123113WSep 13 · 02:00R. Krejci2.101111113P. Pycha1.678130WSep 13 · 01:00R. Krejci2.101111113D. Tuma1.674640LSep 13 · 24:00M. Sobisek1.5311119113R. Krejci2.38731181
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