TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13139423
Played Sep 17Finished
Vladimir Cermak
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115112114––––
Richard Krejci
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:56 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVladimir Cermak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladimir Cermak above · Richard Krejci below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 44 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Vladimir Cermak at 54.0%
44 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Cermak 11–13 Richard Krejci Vladimir Cermak has won 11 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:56What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Cermak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-13 in 24
Krejci
Wrong
gap of 2 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cermak 1543 vs Krejci 1570
Krejci
Wrong
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cermak 40% vs Krejci 20%
Cermak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cermak 40% vs Krejci 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Cermak -1 · Krejci -4
Krejci
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Cermak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krejci form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCermak 1.67 / Krejci 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Krejci)+1.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13139423
Cermak1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 146 of 249
Up 2–0, closes it90% 72 of 80
Up 1–0, closes it77% 117 of 152
Krejci2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 26 of 70
Down 0–1, comes back18% 7 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCermak6wins
AwayKrejci4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderCermak leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCermak100%5 of 5
AwayKrejci80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cermak5Krejci5n = 10split evenly
S2Cermak7Krejci3n = 10Cermak took 7 of 10
S3Cermak5Krejci5n = 10split evenly
S4Cermak4Krejci1n = 5Cermak took 4 of 5
S5Cermak1Krejci2n = 3Krejci took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricCermakKrejciC − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.934.7+1.2per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCermakKrejciBasisWin rate · lifetime550 / 1082 vs 189 / 35850.8%52.8%550 / 1082 vs 189 / 358Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.336.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CermakCermak 1.67/Krejci 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Cermak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Cermak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 12 · 02:58V. Cermak4371111592R. Krejci48119611113
WSep 11 · 22:30V. Cermak331111113R. Krejci218490
WSep 7 · 24:30V. Cermak331111113R. Krejci269980
LJul 19 · 23:00V. Cermak45912311102R. Krejci531110119123
WJun 1 · 22:30V. Cermak331111113R. Krejci142570
LMay 13 · 01:00V. Cermak199550R. Krejci331111113
WApr 24 · 01:00V. Cermak4151111143R. Krejci351175121
WJan 22 · 03:00V. Cermak531112811113R. Krejci4671411862
WJan 17 · 01:30V. Cermak4211119113R. Krejci38991191
LJan 15 · 02:30V. Cermak175840R. Krejci331111113
V. Cermak10
LSep 17 · 23:30A. Hlawatschke1.441111113V. Cermak2.631690LSep 15 · 13:30J. Hradecky1.3512117133V. Cermak2.9510911111WSep 15 · 12:30J. Svoboda1.73611101182V. Cermak2.00119124113LSep 15 · 11:30V. Cermak2.75118831J. Hradecky1.4061111113WSep 15 · 10:30J. Stolfa2.3889111112V. Cermak1.53111156113LSep 15 · 09:00V. Cermak1.6171271162J. Stolfa2.201110119113LSep 15 · 08:30V. Cermak1.538880F. Just2.381111113LSep 15 · 07:00V. Cermak2.00121113572J. Svoboda1.731461111113WSep 15 · 06:00J. Stolfa2.205530V. Cermak1.611111113WSep 14 · 13:00V. Cermak1.831111113M. Vesely1.835460
R. Krejci10
LSep 15 · 02:30R. Krejci2.38108111262P. Pycha1.531211910113LSep 15 · 01:30D. Tuma1.671111113R. Krejci2.106860LSep 15 · 24:00R. Krejci3.00113115112A. Hlawatschke1.36711711133LSep 14 · 23:00M. Volf1.911111113R. Krejci1.808950WSep 13 · 03:28P. Pycha1.807101181R. Krejci1.9111123113WSep 13 · 02:00R. Krejci2.101111113P. Pycha1.678130WSep 13 · 01:00R. Krejci2.101111113D. Tuma1.674640LSep 13 · 24:00M. Sobisek1.5311119113R. Krejci2.38731181LSep 12 · 22:30M. Vizek1.501111119113R. Krejci2.5013721182WSep 12 · 02:58R. Krejci2.00119611113V. Cermak1.7371111592
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