TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13129690
Played Sep 15Finished
Vladimir Cermak
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
116811811311––
Jakub Hradecky
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:21 and never touched — 72.6% is still 72.6%
Graded at full timeJakub Hradecky to win
72.6%
72.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladimir Cermak above · Jakub Hradecky below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 69 set 4, 3-11 — our read held Jakub Hradecky at 72.6%
69 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Cermak 7–28 Jakub Hradecky Vladimir Cermak has won 7 of their 35 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:21What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Hradecky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-28 in 35
Hradecky
Correct
gap of 21 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cermak 1549 vs Hradecky 1718
Hradecky
Correct
both rated, 169 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cermak 40% vs Hradecky 100%
Hradecky
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cermak 50% vs Hradecky 90%
Hradecky
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cermak +1 · Hradecky +5
Hradecky
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Hradecky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hradecky form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCermak 2.75 / Hradecky 1.40
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Hradecky)+6.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13129690
Cermak2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog43% won 80 of 186
Down 0–1, comes back26% 28 of 110
Down 0–2, comes back8% 5 of 62
Hradecky1.40
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 88 of 136
Up 2–0, closes it100% 42 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it81% 59 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCermak3wins
AwayHradecky7wins
6 of 10 to a deciderHradecky leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCermak66.7%2 of 3
AwayHradecky85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cermak3Hradecky7n = 10Hradecky took 7 of 10
S2Cermak5Hradecky5n = 10split evenly
S3Cermak4Hradecky6n = 10Hradecky took 6 of 10
S4Cermak5Hradecky4n = 9Cermak took 5 of 9
S5Cermak2Hradecky4n = 6Hradecky took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricCermakHradeckyC − HBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.145.0−4.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCermakHradeckyBasisWin rate · lifetime550 / 1083 vs 260 / 48250.8%53.9%550 / 1083 vs 260 / 482Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HradeckyCermak 2.75/Hradecky 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.6%
Hradecky · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hradecky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 03:28V. Cermak2371060J. Hradecky341112113
LSep 10 · 01:30V. Cermak4041451162J. Hradecky521112117113
LAug 28 · 12:30V. Cermak377118111J. Hradecky4111611133
LAug 27 · 01:30V. Cermak4377111172J. Hradecky51111199113
LAug 26 · 18:30V. Cermak361277101J. Hradecky44101111123
LAug 20 · 07:00V. Cermak42103111172J. Hradecky48121168113
WAug 13 · 02:00V. Cermak49111179113J. Hradecky4485111192
WJun 30 · 24:30V. Cermak44111110123J. Hradecky377812101
WJun 28 · 13:30V. Cermak539111111113J. Hradecky4811971382
LJun 28 · 11:30V. Cermak3423111172J. Hradecky51111199113
V. Cermak10
WSep 15 · 12:30J. Svoboda1.73611101182V. Cermak2.00119124113WSep 15 · 10:30J. Stolfa2.3889111112V. Cermak1.53111156113LSep 15 · 09:00V. Cermak1.6171271162J. Stolfa2.201110119113LSep 15 · 08:30V. Cermak1.538880F. Just2.381111113LSep 15 · 07:00V. Cermak2.00121113572J. Svoboda1.731461111113WSep 15 · 06:00J. Stolfa2.205530V. Cermak1.611111113WSep 14 · 13:00V. Cermak1.831111113M. Vesely1.835460LSep 14 · 12:00D. Tuma2.10411119123V. Cermak1.67118911102LSep 14 · 11:00F. Just2.25811117123V. Cermak1.57119911102WSep 14 · 10:30V. Cermak1.831111113M. Vesely1.839950
J. Hradecky10
WSep 15 · 12:00J. Hradecky1.6711175113J. Stolfa2.107151181WSep 15 · 10:00J. Hradecky1.6111115113J. Svoboda2.20841171WSep 10 · 03:28J. Hradecky1.441112113V. Cermak2.6371060WSep 10 · 02:30J. Hradecky1.40121111113M. Vedmoch2.75145051WSep 10 · 01:30V. Cermak2.6341451162J. Hradecky1.441112117113WSep 10 · 24:00J. Hradecky1.67116811113A. Hlawatschke2.1091111962WSep 9 · 23:00D. Kouble2.63861241J. Hradecky1.44111110113LSep 9 · 17:29J. Hradecky1.80121111792J. Stolfa1.91147611113WSep 9 · 16:30J. Hradecky1.671211113M. Sedlak2.1010640WSep 9 · 15:00J. Hradecky1.73411919113J. Stolfa2.00119111752
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