TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13129974
Played Sep 15Finished
Jakub Hradecky
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 7
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1171715511118––
Jakub Stolfa
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:40 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Hradecky to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Hradecky above · Jakub Stolfa below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 17-15
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 85 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Jakub Hradecky at 54.0%
85 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Hradecky 5–9 Jakub Stolfa Jakub Hradecky has won 5 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:40What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Hradecky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-9 in 14
Stolfa
Wrong
gap of 4 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hradecky 1725 vs Stolfa 1588
Hradecky
Correct
both rated, 137 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hradecky 100% vs Stolfa 60%
Hradecky
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hradecky 90% vs Stolfa 50%
Hradecky
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hradecky +5 · Stolfa +1
Hradecky
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Hradecky) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stolfa form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHradecky 1.67 / Stolfa 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Hradecky)+1.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13129974
Hradecky1.67
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 88 of 136
Up 2–0, closes it100% 42 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it81% 59 of 73
Stolfa2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog54% won 58 of 108
Down 0–1, comes back39% 24 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHradecky4wins
AwayStolfa6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderStolfa leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHradecky60%3 of 5
AwayStolfa80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hradecky5Stolfa5n = 10split evenly
S2Hradecky6Stolfa4n = 10Hradecky took 6 of 10
S3Hradecky6Stolfa4n = 10Hradecky took 6 of 10
S4Hradecky2Stolfa6n = 8Stolfa took 6 of 8
S5Hradecky2Stolfa3n = 5Stolfa took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHradeckyStolfaH − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.539.3+2.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHradeckyStolfaBasisWin rate · lifetime261 / 483 vs 187 / 35954%52.1%261 / 483 vs 187 / 359Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HradeckyHradecky 1.67/Stolfa 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.2%
Hradecky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hradecky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 17:29J. Hradecky50121111792J. Stolfa49147611113
WSep 9 · 15:00J. Hradecky54411919113J. Stolfa53119111752
WSep 3 · 17:00J. Hradecky331111113J. Stolfa163760
LSep 3 · 15:00J. Hradecky428141281J. Stolfa48111214113
LAug 31 · 18:00J. Hradecky371196111J. Stolfa4161111133
LAug 30 · 09:30J. Hradecky31115871J. Stolfa4071111113
LAug 30 · 08:00J. Hradecky39101111252J. Stolfa46128411113
WAug 19 · 07:00J. Hradecky331111113J. Stolfa147430
WAug 5 · 09:01J. Hradecky501161111113J. Stolfa4171141362
LAug 5 · 08:00J. Hradecky4697111182J. Stolfa45111166113
J. Hradecky10
WSep 15 · 11:30V. Cermak2.75118831J. Hradecky1.4061111113WSep 15 · 10:00J. Hradecky1.6111115113J. Svoboda2.20841171WSep 10 · 03:28J. Hradecky1.441112113V. Cermak2.6371060WSep 10 · 02:30J. Hradecky1.40121111113M. Vedmoch2.75145051WSep 10 · 01:30V. Cermak2.6341451162J. Hradecky1.441112117113WSep 10 · 24:00J. Hradecky1.67116811113A. Hlawatschke2.1091111962WSep 9 · 23:00D. Kouble2.63861241J. Hradecky1.44111110113LSep 9 · 17:29J. Hradecky1.80121111792J. Stolfa1.91147611113WSep 9 · 16:30J. Hradecky1.671211113M. Sedlak2.1010640WSep 9 · 15:00J. Hradecky1.73411919113J. Stolfa2.00119111752
J. Stolfa10
WSep 15 · 11:00J. Svoboda1.836117111J. Stolfa1.8311811133LSep 15 · 10:30J. Stolfa2.3889111112V. Cermak1.53111156113WSep 15 · 09:00V. Cermak1.6171271162J. Stolfa2.201110119113WSep 15 · 08:00J. Stolfa2.101111113J. Svoboda1.678680LSep 15 · 07:30F. Just1.5710111011163J. Stolfa2.25126129142LSep 15 · 06:00J. Stolfa2.205530V. Cermak1.611111113LSep 14 · 09:28J. Stolfa2.10213681V. Cermak1.67111111113WSep 14 · 08:00J. Stolfa1.671111113M. Vesely2.109690WSep 9 · 17:29J. Hradecky1.80121111792J. Stolfa1.91147611113LSep 9 · 15:00J. Hradecky1.73411919113J. Stolfa2.00119111752
Upcoming Matches
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