TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13151787
Played Sep 18Finished
Richard Krejci
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
411118911311––
Daniel Tuma
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingRichard Krejci above · Daniel Tuma below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 68 set 4, 3-11
68 points played in total.
H2H Richard Krejci 11–17 Daniel Tuma Richard Krejci has won 11 of their 28 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Krejci beat Tuma 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Tuma)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krejci form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrejci 1.83 / Tuma 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Tuma)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13151787
Krejci1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Tuma1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrejci4wins
AwayTuma6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderTuma leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrejci60%3 of 5
AwayTuma80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krejci5Tuma5n = 10split evenly
S2Krejci5Tuma5n = 10split evenly
S3Krejci3Tuma7n = 10Tuma took 7 of 10
S4Krejci2Tuma3n = 5Tuma took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrejciTumaK − TBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match32.933.8−0.9per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrejciTumaBasisWin rate · lifetime189 / 357 vs 771 / 147652.9%52.2%189 / 357 vs 771 / 1476Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.838.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TumaKrejci 1.83/Tuma 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Tuma · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Tuma won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 15 · 01:30R. Krejci206860D. Tuma331111113
WSep 13 · 01:00R. Krejci331111113D. Tuma144640
LSep 1 · 03:28R. Krejci37911891D. Tuma4111811113
WSep 1 · 24:00R. Krejci331111113D. Tuma186570
WAug 25 · 01:00R. Krejci549111211113D. Tuma4511714492
LJul 29 · 22:00R. Krejci204790D. Tuma331111113
LJul 26 · 23:00R. Krejci34139841D. Tuma44111111113
LJul 25 · 02:30R. Krejci207580D. Tuma331111113
WJul 3 · 01:00R. Krejci3711114113D. Tuma30671161
LJan 20 · 01:00R. Krejci4111411782D. Tuma47611811113
R. Krejci10
WSep 18 · 02:00R. Krejci1.611111113F. Just2.205690LSep 18 · 01:00R. Krejci3.0091111532A. Hlawatschke1.36117811113WSep 18 · 24:00D. Tuma1.61136100R. Krejci2.201511123LSep 17 · 22:30V. Cermak1.671111113R. Krejci2.105240LSep 15 · 02:30R. Krejci2.38108111262P. Pycha1.531211910113LSep 15 · 01:30D. Tuma1.671111113R. Krejci2.106860LSep 15 · 24:00R. Krejci3.00113115112A. Hlawatschke1.36711711133LSep 14 · 23:00M. Volf1.911111113R. Krejci1.808950WSep 13 · 03:28P. Pycha1.807101181R. Krejci1.9111123113WSep 13 · 02:00R. Krejci2.101111113P. Pycha1.678130
D. Tuma10
WSep 18 · 02:30D. Tuma2.2011111010173A. Hlawatschke1.61691212152LSep 18 · 01:30V. Cermak1.6771111113D. Tuma2.10119771LSep 18 · 24:00D. Tuma1.61136100R. Krejci2.201511123WSep 17 · 23:00F. Just2.756980D. Tuma1.401111113WSep 17 · 08:58J. Stolfa1.809970D. Tuma1.911111113LSep 17 · 08:00D. Tuma1.83412611J. Stolfa1.83111011113WSep 17 · 07:30P. Zmuda1.83913111092D. Tuma1.831111812113LSep 17 · 06:00D. Tuma1.83761551M. Volf1.83111113113LSep 15 · 03:30P. Pycha1.601111123D. Tuma2.2055100WSep 15 · 01:30D. Tuma1.671111113R. Krejci2.106860
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