TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13141583
Played Sep 18Finished
Richard Krejci
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115116119––––
Frantisek Just
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:22 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeRichard Krejci to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRichard Krejci above · Frantisek Just below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 53 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Richard Krejci at 57.7%
53 points played in total.
H2H Richard Krejci 3–2 Frantisek Just Frantisek Just has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:22What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Krejci
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krejci 1569 vs Just 1587
Just
Wrong
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krejci 20% vs Just 40%
Just
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krejci 40% vs Just 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Krejci -1 · Just -3
Just
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Krejci)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krejci form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrejci 1.61 / Just 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Krejci)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13141583
Krejci1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 51 of 76
Up 2–0, closes it97% 29 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it88% 36 of 41
Just2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 22 of 65
Down 0–1, comes back10% 4 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeKrejci3wins
AwayJust2wins
Krejci leads 3–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrejci100%3 of 3
AwayJustn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krejci3Just2n = 5Krejci took 3 of 5
S2Krejci4Just1n = 5Krejci took 4 of 5
S3Krejci4Just1n = 5Krejci took 4 of 5
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home360%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricKrejciJustK − JBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match33.827.6+6.2per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrejciJustBasisWin rate · lifetime189 / 357 vs 175 / 35452.9%49.4%189 / 357 vs 175 / 354Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.836.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrejciKrejci 1.61/Just 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.1%
Krejci · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Krejci won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 18 · 02:00R. Krejci331111113F. Just205690
WAug 25 · 24:00R. Krejci331111113F. Just133730
LJul 26 · 22:00R. Krejci34961181F. Just3911116113
WNov 12 · 02:30R. Krejci331111113F. Just248880
LOct 28 · 03:00R. Krejci368117101F. Just4211811123
R. Krejci10
LSep 18 · 01:00R. Krejci3.0091111532A. Hlawatschke1.36117811113WSep 18 · 24:00D. Tuma1.61136100R. Krejci2.201511123LSep 17 · 22:30V. Cermak1.671111113R. Krejci2.105240LSep 15 · 02:30R. Krejci2.38108111262P. Pycha1.531211910113LSep 15 · 01:30D. Tuma1.671111113R. Krejci2.106860LSep 15 · 24:00R. Krejci3.00113115112A. Hlawatschke1.36711711133LSep 14 · 23:00M. Volf1.911111113R. Krejci1.808950WSep 13 · 03:28P. Pycha1.807101181R. Krejci1.9111123113WSep 13 · 02:00R. Krejci2.101111113P. Pycha1.678130WSep 13 · 01:00R. Krejci2.101111113D. Tuma1.674640
F. Just10
LSep 18 · 24:30F. Just2.63116551V. Cermak1.4471111113LSep 17 · 23:00F. Just2.756980D. Tuma1.401111113LSep 17 · 22:00A. Hlawatschke2.2011611113F. Just1.61311591WSep 15 · 09:30F. Just2.35117411113J. Svoboda1.5261111772WSep 15 · 08:30V. Cermak1.538880F. Just2.381111113WSep 15 · 07:30F. Just1.5710111011163J. Stolfa2.25126129142LSep 15 · 06:30J. Svoboda1.611111116113F. Just2.2086131182LSep 14 · 13:30D. Tuma1.431111113F. Just2.607450WSep 14 · 12:30F. Just1.61117611113M. Vesely2.2081111942WSep 14 · 11:00F. Just2.25811117123V. Cermak1.57119911102
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