TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13135181
Played Sep 15Finished
Jakub Stolfa
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8118111315––––
Jan Svoboda
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingJakub Stolfa above · Jan Svoboda below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 13-15
Point 66 set 3, 13-15
66 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Stolfa 4–2 Jan Svoboda Jan Svoboda has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Stolfa beat Svoboda 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Stolfa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svoboda form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStolfa 1.80 / Svoboda 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Stolfa)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13135181
Stolfa1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 76 of 142
Up 2–0, closes it100% 32 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it79% 50 of 63
Svoboda1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeStolfa4wins
AwaySvoboda2wins
2 of 6 to a deciderStolfa leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStolfa75%3 of 4
AwaySvobodan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stolfa4Svoboda2n = 6Stolfa took 4 of 6
S2Stolfa3Svoboda3n = 6split evenly
S3Stolfa4Svoboda2n = 6Stolfa took 4 of 6
S4Stolfa3Svoboda2n = 5Stolfa took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricStolfaSvobodaStolfa − SvobodaBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match41.537.3+4.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStolfaSvobodaBasisWin rate · lifetime187 / 360 vs 15 / 2751.9%55.6%187 / 360 vs 15 / 27Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StolfaStolfa 1.80/Svoboda 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Stolfa · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Svoboda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 15 · 11:00J. Stolfa4311811133J. Svoboda356117111
WSep 15 · 08:00J. Stolfa331111113J. Svoboda228680
WSep 10 · 09:30J. Stolfa51911911113J. Svoboda4311811762
LSep 10 · 08:00J. Stolfa291162101J. Svoboda4281111123
WAug 30 · 07:00J. Stolfa45111013113J. Svoboda323121161
LAug 17 · 10:00J. Stolfa48911116112J. Svoboda50118711133
J. Stolfa10
LSep 15 · 12:00J. Hradecky1.6711175113J. Stolfa2.107151181WSep 15 · 11:00J. Svoboda1.836117111J. Stolfa1.8311811133LSep 15 · 10:30J. Stolfa2.3889111112V. Cermak1.53111156113WSep 15 · 09:00V. Cermak1.6171271162J. Stolfa2.201110119113WSep 15 · 08:00J. Stolfa2.101111113J. Svoboda1.678680LSep 15 · 07:30F. Just1.5710111011163J. Stolfa2.25126129142LSep 15 · 06:00J. Stolfa2.205530V. Cermak1.611111113LSep 14 · 09:28J. Stolfa2.10213681V. Cermak1.67111111113WSep 14 · 08:00J. Stolfa1.671111113M. Vesely2.109690LSep 14 · 07:30V. Cermak1.611111119113J. Stolfa2.2013991162
J. Svoboda10
LSep 15 · 12:30J. Svoboda1.73611101182V. Cermak2.00119124113LSep 15 · 11:00J. Svoboda1.836117111J. Stolfa1.8311811133LSep 15 · 10:00J. Hradecky1.6111115113J. Svoboda2.20841171LSep 15 · 09:30F. Just2.35117411113J. Svoboda1.5261111772LSep 15 · 08:00J. Stolfa2.101111113J. Svoboda1.678680WSep 15 · 07:00V. Cermak2.00121113572J. Svoboda1.731461111113WSep 15 · 06:30J. Svoboda1.611111116113F. Just2.2086131182LSep 10 · 09:30J. Svoboda1.8011811762J. Stolfa1.91911911113WSep 10 · 08:00J. Stolfa1.831162101J. Svoboda1.8381111123WSep 10 · 07:00T. Vinter2.0344111172J. Svoboda1.62111148113
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