TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13145470
Played Sep 18Finished
Jan Svoboda
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118117117––––
Jakub Stolfa
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:22 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Stolfa to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Svoboda above · Jakub Stolfa below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 55 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Jakub Stolfa at 54.0%
55 points played in total.
H2H Jan Svoboda 4–4 Jakub Stolfa Dead even across their 8 meetings.
Last 8 · 4–4Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:22What took a side0 for · 2 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Svoboda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-4 in 8
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Svoboda 1622 vs Stolfa 1550
Svoboda
Correct
both rated, 72 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svoboda 20% vs Stolfa 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svoboda 40% vs Stolfa 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Svoboda +1 · Stolfa -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Svoboda) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stolfa form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvoboda 1.73 / Stolfa 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Svoboda)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13145470
Svoboda1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite70% won 14 of 20
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it86% 12 of 14
Stolfa2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog52% won 59 of 113
Down 0–1, comes back37% 24 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeSvoboda4wins
AwayStolfa4wins
2 of 8 to a deciderLevel at 4–4, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSvoboda75%3 of 4
AwayStolfa75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svoboda4Stolfa4n = 8split evenly
S2Svoboda5Stolfa3n = 8Svoboda took 5 of 8
S3Svoboda4Stolfa4n = 8split evenly
S4Svoboda2Stolfa3n = 5Stolfa took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricSvobodaStolfaSvoboda − StolfaBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match36.837.5−0.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvobodaStolfaBasisWin rate · lifetime17 / 29 vs 187 / 36658.6%51.1%17 / 29 vs 187 / 366Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvobodaSvoboda 1.73/Stolfa 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Svoboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Svoboda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 18 · 06:00J. Svoboda331111113J. Stolfa228770
WSep 15 · 12:59J. Svoboda371111153J. Stolfa2988130
LSep 15 · 11:00J. Svoboda356117111J. Stolfa4311811133
LSep 15 · 08:00J. Svoboda228680J. Stolfa331111113
LSep 10 · 09:30J. Svoboda4311811762J. Stolfa51911911113
WSep 10 · 08:00J. Svoboda4281111123J. Stolfa291162101
LAug 30 · 07:00J. Svoboda323121161J. Stolfa45111013113
WAug 17 · 10:00J. Svoboda50118711133J. Stolfa48911116112
J. Svoboda10
WSep 15 · 12:59J. Stolfa1.8088130J. Svoboda1.911111153LSep 15 · 12:30J. Svoboda1.73611101182V. Cermak2.00119124113LSep 15 · 11:00J. Svoboda1.836117111J. Stolfa1.8311811133LSep 15 · 10:00J. Hradecky1.6111115113J. Svoboda2.20841171LSep 15 · 09:30F. Just2.35117411113J. Svoboda1.5261111772LSep 15 · 08:00J. Stolfa2.101111113J. Svoboda1.678680WSep 15 · 07:00V. Cermak2.00121113572J. Svoboda1.731461111113WSep 15 · 06:30J. Svoboda1.611111116113F. Just2.2086131182LSep 10 · 09:30J. Svoboda1.8011811762J. Stolfa1.91911911113WSep 10 · 08:00J. Stolfa1.831162101J. Svoboda1.8381111123
J. Stolfa10
LSep 18 · 07:00J. Stolfa2.101279101M. Vizek1.67101111123LSep 17 · 08:58J. Stolfa1.809970D. Tuma1.911111113WSep 17 · 08:00D. Tuma1.83412611J. Stolfa1.83111011113LSep 17 · 07:00M. Volf2.1071111113J. Stolfa1.67118771LSep 17 · 06:30J. Stolfa1.8311711652P. Zmuda1.83611811113LSep 15 · 12:59J. Stolfa1.8088130J. Svoboda1.911111153WSep 15 · 11:00J. Svoboda1.836117111J. Stolfa1.8311811133WSep 15 · 08:00J. Stolfa2.101111113J. Svoboda1.678680WSep 10 · 09:30J. Svoboda1.8011811762J. Stolfa1.91911911113LSep 10 · 08:00J. Stolfa1.831162101J. Svoboda1.8381111123
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