TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13147070
Played Sep 18Finished
Jakub Stolfa
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
12107119111012––
Martin Vizek
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:49 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeMartin Vizek to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Stolfa above · Martin Vizek below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 82 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Martin Vizek at 56.2%
82 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Stolfa 3–3 Martin Vizek Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:49What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Vizek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stolfa 1550 vs Vizek 1668
Vizek
Correct
both rated, 117 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stolfa 20% vs Vizek 40%
Vizek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stolfa 30% vs Vizek 70%
Vizek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stolfa -2 · Vizek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Vizek) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vizek form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStolfa 2.10 / Vizek 1.67
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Vizek)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13147070
Stolfa2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog52% won 59 of 113
Down 0–1, comes back37% 24 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 29
Vizek1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 44 of 73
Up 2–0, closes it100% 17 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it85% 28 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeStolfa3wins
AwayVizek3wins
1 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStolfa66.7%2 of 3
AwayVizek66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stolfa3Vizek3n = 6split evenly
S2Stolfa2Vizek4n = 6Vizek took 4 of 6
S3Stolfa2Vizek4n = 6Vizek took 4 of 6
S4Stolfa3Vizek2n = 5Stolfa took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricStolfaVizekS − VBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match36.738.0−1.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStolfaVizekBasisWin rate · lifetime187 / 366 vs 209 / 40951.1%51.1%187 / 366 vs 209 / 409Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VizekStolfa 2.10/Vizek 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.6%
Vizek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vizek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 18 · 07:00J. Stolfa381279101M. Vizek44101111123
WAug 26 · 14:30J. Stolfa44111111113M. Vizek28613361
WOct 24 · 19:00J. Stolfa516111013113M. Vizek51118121192
LJul 30 · 16:30J. Stolfa303116101M. Vizek3611211123
WJul 18 · 08:00J. Stolfa4211911113M. Vizek36811891
LJun 27 · 15:00J. Stolfa151680M. Vizek331111113
J. Stolfa10
LSep 18 · 06:00J. Svoboda1.731111113J. Stolfa2.008770LSep 17 · 08:58J. Stolfa1.809970D. Tuma1.911111113WSep 17 · 08:00D. Tuma1.83412611J. Stolfa1.83111011113LSep 17 · 07:00M. Volf2.1071111113J. Stolfa1.67118771LSep 17 · 06:30J. Stolfa1.8311711652P. Zmuda1.83611811113LSep 15 · 12:59J. Stolfa1.8088130J. Svoboda1.911111153LSep 15 · 12:00J. Hradecky1.6711175113J. Stolfa2.107151181WSep 15 · 11:00J. Svoboda1.836117111J. Stolfa1.8311811133LSep 15 · 10:30J. Stolfa2.3889111112V. Cermak1.53111156113WSep 15 · 09:00V. Cermak1.6171271162J. Stolfa2.201110119113
M. Vizek10
LSep 18 · 06:30M. Vizek2.003490M. Sobisek1.731111113WSep 13 · 03:00M. Sobisek1.50912120M. Vizek2.501114143LSep 13 · 01:30M. Vizek2.205670M. Sobisek1.611111113LSep 13 · 24:30P. Pycha1.8311117113M. Vizek1.83971141WSep 12 · 23:30D. Tuma2.20514131272M. Vizek1.6111121114113WSep 12 · 22:30M. Vizek1.501111119113R. Krejci2.5013721182WSep 11 · 03:30M. Vizek1.5081111123V. Cermak2.501158101WSep 11 · 02:00M. Vizek1.50146118123V. Cermak2.501211611102WSep 11 · 01:00M. Vizek1.3671112113M. Vedmoch3.001191071WSep 11 · 24:00M. Sobisek1.501161081M. Vizek2.5021112113
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