Daniel Tuma vs Tomas Holik 2-3

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga Pro

Played Sep 20Finished

Daniel Tuma

Home

1.83

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 2

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

1012119118311511

Tomas Holik

Away

1.83

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Won last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Daniel Tuma to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingDaniel Tuma above · Tomas Holik below

Set 1 · 10-12

Set 2 · 11-9

Set 3 · 11-8

Set 4 · 3-11

Set 5 · 5-10

Point 90 set 5, 5-10 — our read held Daniel Tuma at 54.0%

90 points drawn · the score is 1 ahead; the rest land in a moment.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 08:57

What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.83 (50%)

Holik

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Tuma 1596 vs Holik 1535

Tuma

Wrong

both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Tuma 40% vs Holik 40%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Tuma 50% vs Holik 20%

Tuma

Wrong

30pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Tuma -2 · Holik +2

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Tuma)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Holik form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsTuma 1.83 / Holik 1.83

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Tuma)+4.0pp

Czech Liga Pro · #13158557

Tuma1.83

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 19)

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

Holik1.83

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 15 days ago (Sep 05) · back after a break

Won last 2

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricTumaHolikBasisWin rate · lifetime772 / 1477 vs 73 / 16452.3%44.5%772 / 1477 vs 73 / 164Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.639.1per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Tuma

Tuma 1.83/Holik 1.83

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Tuma · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Holik won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

D. Tuma10