TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Tomas Holik
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811113811118811
Jiri Holubec
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:49 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Holubec to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Holik above · Jiri Holubec below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 90 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Jiri Holubec at 54.0%
90 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:49What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Holubec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Holik 1544 vs Holubec 1614
Holubec
Correct
both rated, 70 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Holik 60% vs Holubec 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Holik 30% vs Holubec 50%
Holubec
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Holik +3 · Holubec -2
Holik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Holubec) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holik form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHolik 2.50 / Holubec 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Holubec)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13159952
Holik2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 9 of 22
Down 0–1, comes back17% 2 of 12
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Holubec1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 16 of 26
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it79% 11 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricHolikHolubecBasisWin rate · lifetime61 / 137 vs 45 / 9344.5%48.4%61 / 137 vs 45 / 93Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.038.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HolubecHolik 2.50/Holubec 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Holubec · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Holubec won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
T. Holik10
WSep 20 · 14:30D. Tuma1.83101111352T. Holik1.83129811113WSep 5 · 09:00M. Sedlak3.252690T. Holik1.331111113WSep 5 · 08:00T. Holik1.831191011223M. Sedlak1.83811125202LSep 5 · 07:30R. Pavelka2.251161111113T. Holik1.5751113792LSep 5 · 06:00T. Holik1.918750J. Svoboda1.801111113LAug 17 · 12:59R. Wagner1.531111113T. Holik2.388680LAug 17 · 12:00R. Wagner1.6121111113T. Holik2.20117841LAug 17 · 11:00F. Pusch1.731311113T. Holik2.0011670LAug 17 · 10:30T. Holik3.405790V. Cermak1.301111113LAug 17 · 08:58T. Holik1.8069130J. Zuzanek1.911111153
J. Holubec10
LSep 20 · 16:00J. Holubec1.401111117102D. Tuma2.75771311123LSep 20 · 14:00J. Holubec1.57881181J. Stolfa2.2511116113LSep 20 · 09:30J. Holubec1.578770M. Nohejl2.251111113WSep 20 · 08:30M. Regner1.8013470J. Holubec1.911511113WSep 20 · 07:30J. Holubec1.80111011113M. Nohejl1.91412991WSep 20 · 06:30M. Chlebecek1.8328110J. Holubec1.831111133LSep 19 · 21:29J. Zuzanek1.836111212113J. Holubec1.83115141092WSep 19 · 20:00J. Zuzanek1.67711121132J. Holubec2.101191013113WSep 19 · 19:00R. Pacha1.6710111011112J. Holubec2.10129126133LSep 19 · 18:30J. Holubec1.67117101162M. Chlebecek2.10511128113
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