TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Jiri Holubec
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1141012119119––
Matej Nohejl
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:12 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Holubec to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Holubec above · Matej Nohejl below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 77 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Jiri Holubec at 54.0%
77 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Holubec 1–0 Matej Nohejl Matej Nohejl has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:12What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Holubec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Holubec 1656 vs Nohejl 1629
Holubec
Correct
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Holubec 60% vs Nohejl 80%
Nohejl
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Holubec 50% vs Nohejl 90%
Nohejl
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Holubec +1 · Nohejl +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Nohejl) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nohejl form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHolubec 1.80 / Nohejl 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Nohejl)+5.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13159416
Holubec1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 16 of 26
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it79% 11 of 14
Nohejl1.91
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog40% won 15 of 38
Down 0–1, comes back15% 3 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeHolubec1wins
AwayNohejl0wins
Holubec leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricHolubecNohejlH − NBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match43.034.0+9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHolubecNohejlBasisWin rate · lifetime44 / 90 vs 92 / 18948.9%48.7%44 / 90 vs 92 / 189Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.636.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NohejlHolubec 1.80/Nohejl 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Nohejl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Holubec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 20 · 07:30J. Holubec43111011113M. Nohejl34412991
J. Holubec10
WSep 20 · 06:30M. Chlebecek1.8328110J. Holubec1.831111133LSep 19 · 21:29J. Zuzanek1.836111212113J. Holubec1.83115141092WSep 19 · 20:00J. Zuzanek1.67711121132J. Holubec2.101191013113WSep 19 · 19:00R. Pacha1.6710111011112J. Holubec2.10129126133LSep 19 · 18:30J. Holubec1.67117101162M. Chlebecek2.10511128113LSep 19 · 02:59J. Holubec1.7341040P. Pycha2.001112113LSep 19 · 01:30J. Holubec1.807111081M. Sychra1.9111312113WSep 19 · 24:30D. Tuma2.639450J. Holubec1.441111113WSep 18 · 23:30J. Hradecky2.007550J. Holubec1.731111113LSep 18 · 22:30J. Holubec1.6789110P. Pycha2.101111133
M. Nohejl10
WSep 20 · 08:00M. Nohejl1.831311113M. Chlebecek1.8311560WSep 20 · 06:00M. Nohejl2.201011117113M. Regner1.6112461132WAug 30 · 21:28M. Vizek1.80341171M. Nohejl1.9111118113LAug 30 · 20:00M. Vizek1.73511611113M. Nohejl2.0011811772WAug 30 · 19:00T. Vinter2.758150M. Nohejl1.401111113WAug 30 · 18:30M. Nohejl1.531111113T. Janata2.385450WAug 30 · 17:29M. Nohejl1.4411117113T. Janata2.63631131WAug 30 · 16:30M. Nohejl1.731111113P. Budinsky2.008570WAug 30 · 15:00M. Nohejl1.5711119113T. Janata2.25791151WAug 30 · 14:00D. Tuma1.8351221272M. Nohejl1.8311101110113
Upcoming Matches
J. Holubec
M. Nohejl
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