TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Marek Chlebecek
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
2118111113––––
Jiri Holubec
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:02 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Holubec to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarek Chlebecek above · Jiri Holubec below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 56 set 3, 11-13 — our read held Jiri Holubec at 54.0%
56 points played in total.
H2H Marek Chlebecek 1–1 Jiri Holubec Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:02What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Holubec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Chlebecek 1546 vs Holubec 1656
Holubec
Correct
both rated, 110 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chlebecek 20% vs Holubec 40%
Holubec
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chlebecek 40% vs Holubec 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Chlebecek -3 · Holubec -1
Chlebecek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Holubec)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holubec form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChlebecek 1.83 / Holubec 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Holubec)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13159406
Chlebecek1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Holubec1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeChlebecek1wins
AwayHolubec1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricChlebecekHolubecC − HBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match34.040.0−6.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChlebecekHolubecBasisWin rate · lifetime113 / 242 vs 44 / 9046.7%48.9%113 / 242 vs 44 / 90Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HolubecChlebecek 1.83/Holubec 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Holubec · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Holubec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 20 · 06:30M. Chlebecek2128110J. Holubec351111133
WSep 19 · 18:30M. Chlebecek47511128113J. Holubec45117101162
M. Chlebecek10
LSep 20 · 07:00M. Regner1.731111113M. Chlebecek2.006780LSep 19 · 21:15R. Pacha—11912113M. Chlebecek—7111071LSep 19 · 20:30R. Pacha1.5311811113M. Chlebecek2.38611861LSep 19 · 19:30M. Chlebecek2.5011114682J. Zuzanek1.50261111113WSep 19 · 18:30J. Holubec1.67117101162M. Chlebecek2.10511128113LSep 16 · 01:30M. Chlebecek2.10115491M. Sychra1.6751111113LSep 16 · 24:30M. Regner1.91111112113M. Chlebecek1.80971461LSep 15 · 23:30M. Sopko1.2891111113M. Chlebecek3.50116791WSep 15 · 22:30M. Chlebecek1.6711119113M. Sobisek2.10951191WSep 7 · 03:30M. Chlebecek1.9091111123V. Cermak1.801159101
J. Holubec10
WSep 20 · 07:30J. Holubec1.80111011113M. Nohejl1.91412991LSep 19 · 21:29J. Zuzanek1.836111212113J. Holubec1.83115141092WSep 19 · 20:00J. Zuzanek1.67711121132J. Holubec2.101191013113WSep 19 · 19:00R. Pacha1.6710111011112J. Holubec2.10129126133LSep 19 · 18:30J. Holubec1.67117101162M. Chlebecek2.10511128113LSep 19 · 02:59J. Holubec1.7341040P. Pycha2.001112113LSep 19 · 01:30J. Holubec1.807111081M. Sychra1.9111312113WSep 19 · 24:30D. Tuma2.639450J. Holubec1.441111113WSep 18 · 23:30J. Hradecky2.007550J. Holubec1.731111113LSep 18 · 22:30J. Holubec1.6789110P. Pycha2.101111133
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