TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Michal Regner
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116117118––––
Marek Chlebecek
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMarek Chlebecek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Regner above · Marek Chlebecek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 54 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Marek Chlebecek at 54.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Michal Regner 3–3 Marek Chlebecek Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:03What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Regner
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Regner 1673 vs Chlebecek 1546
Regner
Correct
both rated, 127 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Regner 80% vs Chlebecek 20%
Regner
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Regner 50% vs Chlebecek 30%
Regner
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Regner -1 · Chlebecek -4
Chlebecek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Regner) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chlebecek form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRegner 1.73 / Chlebecek 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Regner)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13159414
Regner1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite49% won 89 of 183
Up 2–0, closes it92% 47 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it66% 68 of 103
Chlebecek2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 27 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back29% 11 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeRegner3wins
AwayChlebecek3wins
1 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRegner100%3 of 3
AwayChlebecek100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Regner3Chlebecek3n = 6split evenly
S2Regner3Chlebecek3n = 6split evenly
S3Regner2Chlebecek4n = 6Chlebecek took 4 of 6
S4Regner1Chlebecek2n = 3Chlebecek took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away233%
These 6 meetings
MetricRegnerChlebecekR − CBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match36.235.2+1.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRegnerChlebecekBasisWin rate · lifetime514 / 1057 vs 113 / 24248.6%46.7%514 / 1057 vs 113 / 242Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.136.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RegnerRegner 1.73/Chlebecek 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Regner · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Regner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 20 · 07:00M. Regner331111113M. Chlebecek216780
WSep 16 · 24:30M. Regner45111112113M. Chlebecek36971461
LSep 2 · 03:30M. Regner34911681M. Chlebecek3811511113
LSep 2 · 01:00M. Regner2511680M. Chlebecek351311113
LAug 24 · 03:40M. Regner29109100M. Chlebecek351211123
WAug 24 · 02:00M. Regner51119116143M. Chlebecek46811411122
M. Regner10
LSep 20 · 06:00M. Nohejl2.201011117113M. Regner1.6112461132WSep 19 · 09:30M. Regner2.1511119113M. Vondrak1.62531161WSep 19 · 08:30J. Zuzanek1.8388111242M. Regner1.831111610113WSep 19 · 07:30M. Regner2.25111114113V. Vejvoda1.57841681WSep 19 · 06:30M. Vondrak1.5311771192M. Regner2.38911118113WSep 18 · 02:30M. Regner2.20124118113M. Skakal1.61101191162LSep 18 · 01:30V. Vejvoda1.671111113M. Regner2.108940LSep 18 · 24:00M. Regner1.8311511482M. Klement1.83311811113LSep 17 · 23:00T. Franek1.50118144113M. Regner2.50611121162LSep 17 · 08:58J. Zuzanek1.91131011113M. Regner1.801112861
M. Chlebecek10
LSep 20 · 06:30M. Chlebecek1.8328110J. Holubec1.831111133LSep 19 · 21:15R. Pacha—11912113M. Chlebecek—7111071LSep 19 · 20:30R. Pacha1.5311811113M. Chlebecek2.38611861LSep 19 · 19:30M. Chlebecek2.5011114682J. Zuzanek1.50261111113WSep 19 · 18:30J. Holubec1.67117101162M. Chlebecek2.10511128113LSep 16 · 01:30M. Chlebecek2.10115491M. Sychra1.6751111113LSep 16 · 24:30M. Regner1.91111112113M. Chlebecek1.80971461LSep 15 · 23:30M. Sopko1.2891111113M. Chlebecek3.50116791WSep 15 · 22:30M. Chlebecek1.6711119113M. Sobisek2.10951191WSep 7 · 03:30M. Chlebecek1.9091111123V. Cermak1.801159101
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