TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13140677
Played Sep 18Finished
Michal Regner
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
113511118411811
Milan Klement
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:01 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Regner to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Regner above · Milan Klement below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 83 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Michal Regner at 54.0%
83 points played in total.
H2H Michal Regner 56–40 Milan Klement Milan Klement has won 40 of their 96 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:01What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Klement
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
56-40 in 96
Regner
Wrong
gap of 16 in 96, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Regner 1674 vs Klement 1595
Regner
Wrong
both rated, 78 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Regner 20% vs Klement 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Regner 50% vs Klement 30%
Regner
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Regner -2 · Klement -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Regner)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Klement form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRegner 1.83 / Klement 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Regner)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13140677
Regner1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Klement1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRegner6wins
AwayKlement4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderRegner leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRegner100%3 of 3
AwayKlement57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Regner3Klement7n = 10Klement took 7 of 10
S2Regner8Klement2n = 10Regner took 8 of 10
S3Regner3Klement7n = 10Klement took 7 of 10
S4Regner5Klement3n = 8Regner took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRegnerKlementR − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.536.4+1.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRegnerKlementBasisWin rate · lifetime508 / 1052 vs 449 / 88248.3%50.9%508 / 1052 vs 449 / 882Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.039.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RegnerRegner 1.83/Klement 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Regner · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Klement won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 23:30M. Regner4291111113M. Klement30116761
WSep 3 · 09:28M. Regner4211128113M. Klement327101141
LSep 3 · 06:30M. Regner32813471M. Klement44111111113
LAug 25 · 03:30M. Regner2611690M. Klement351311113
WAug 25 · 02:30M. Regner50813711113M. Klement49111111972
WAug 7 · 06:00M. Regner3711114113M. Klement29631191
WJul 18 · 23:00M. Regner52991111123M. Klement45111185102
LJul 17 · 07:00M. Regner27411751M. Klement4211911113
LJul 10 · 01:00M. Regner34811871M. Klement4111811113
WJun 17 · 22:00M. Regner331111113M. Klement175750
M. Regner10
LSep 17 · 23:00T. Franek1.50118144113M. Regner2.50611121162LSep 17 · 08:58J. Zuzanek1.91131011113M. Regner1.801112861WSep 17 · 08:30M. Regner2.0011811113J. Zuzanek1.73911791LSep 17 · 07:00M. Regner1.671261261J. Tazler2.10101114113LSep 17 · 06:00R. Wagner1.6111118113M. Regner2.20581191WSep 16 · 03:30M. Regner1.68121013113M. Sychra2.0510121191LSep 16 · 02:00M. Sobisek2.50131111113M. Regner1.50158841WSep 16 · 24:30M. Regner1.91111112113M. Chlebecek1.80971461WSep 15 · 23:00M. Regner1.831111113M. Sychra1.836970WSep 15 · 22:00M. Sopko2.389111161M. Regner1.5311138113
M. Klement10
WSep 18 · 01:00M. Klement1.83118127113M. Skakal1.83811101162LSep 17 · 22:30V. Vejvoda2.10121268113M. Klement1.671010111192WSep 17 · 16:59M. Vondrak1.9189110M. Klement1.801111133LSep 17 · 16:30M. Klement2.0091112762M. Sychra1.731141011113LSep 17 · 15:00M. Klement1.616119101V. Vejvoda2.2011511123LSep 17 · 14:00M. Vondrak2.101112113M. Klement1.6771070LSep 16 · 09:30M. Klement1.65871191V. Vejvoda2.1011117113LSep 16 · 08:30M. Klement1.5011711942J. Zuzanek2.50911911113WSep 16 · 07:00M. Klement1.671111123V. Vejvoda2.1076100WSep 16 · 06:00J. Tazler1.5711791172M. Klement2.25711117113
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