TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13129680
Played Sep 16Finished
Martin Sobisek
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1315118118114––
Michal Regner
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:10 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeMichal Regner to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMartin Sobisek above · Michal Regner below
Set 1 · 13-15
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 81 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Michal Regner at 61.2%
81 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sobisek 9–11 Michal Regner Martin Sobisek has won 9 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:10What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Regner
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-11 in 20
Regner
Wrong
gap of 2 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sobisek 1660 vs Regner 1726
Regner
Wrong
both rated, 66 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sobisek 0% vs Regner 80%
Regner
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sobisek 40% vs Regner 60%
Regner
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sobisek -5 · Regner +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Regner) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Regner form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSobisek 2.50 / Regner 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Regner)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13129680
Sobisek2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 126 of 322
Down 0–1, comes back25% 46 of 182
Down 0–2, comes back7% 8 of 108
Regner1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite49% won 87 of 178
Up 2–0, closes it92% 46 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it67% 66 of 99
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSobisek4wins
AwayRegner6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderRegner leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSobisek75%3 of 4
AwayRegner83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sobisek4Regner6n = 10Regner took 6 of 10
S2Sobisek4Regner6n = 10Regner took 6 of 10
S3Sobisek3Regner7n = 10Regner took 7 of 10
S4Sobisek5Regner2n = 7Sobisek took 5 of 7
S5Sobisek2Regner2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSobisekRegnerS − RBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.839.1−2.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSobisekRegnerBasisWin rate · lifetime560 / 1190 vs 513 / 105947.1%48.4%560 / 1190 vs 513 / 1059Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.636.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RegnerSobisek 2.50/Regner 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.7%
Regner · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sobisek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 16 · 12:30M. Sobisek331111113M. Regner236890
LMay 15 · 03:00M. Sobisek4361191162M. Regner44117114113
LMay 15 · 01:00M. Sobisek3131131132M. Regner48117118113
WMay 5 · 12:58M. Sobisek54119914113M. Regner46711111252
LMay 5 · 11:30M. Sobisek32691161M. Regner4011117113
WApr 29 · 08:30M. Sobisek45111112113M. Regner361391041
LApr 7 · 02:00M. Sobisek2898110M. Regner351111133
LOct 16 · 22:00M. Sobisek199640M. Regner331111113
LOct 15 · 13:06M. Sobisek34119771M. Regner4071111113
WOct 15 · 12:30M. Sobisek491151012113M. Regner46511121082
M. Sobisek10
LSep 16 · 01:00M. Sobisek1.7312811692M. Sopko2.001011211113LSep 16 · 24:00M. Sychra1.5011119113M. Sobisek2.50761151LSep 15 · 22:30M. Chlebecek1.6711119113M. Sobisek2.10951191LSep 13 · 03:00M. Sobisek1.50912120M. Vizek2.501114143LSep 13 · 02:30M. Sobisek1.808111181D. Tuma1.9111613113WSep 13 · 01:30M. Vizek2.205670M. Sobisek1.611111113WSep 13 · 24:00M. Sobisek1.5311119113R. Krejci2.38731181LSep 12 · 23:00P. Pycha1.839121112113M. Sobisek1.83111461062WSep 11 · 02:59M. Sobisek1.361110511133M. Vedmoch3.00512117112WSep 11 · 02:30M. Sobisek1.401311113M. Vedmoch2.7511450
M. Regner10
WSep 16 · 24:30M. Regner1.91111112113M. Chlebecek1.80971461WSep 15 · 23:00M. Regner1.731111113M. Sychra2.006970WSep 15 · 22:00M. Sopko2.389111161M. Regner1.5311138113LSep 13 · 03:00M. Regner1.8310280J. Louda1.831211113WSep 13 · 02:00R. Wagner1.404890M. Regner2.751111113LSep 13 · 24:30M. Regner1.618950R. Rose2.201111113LSep 12 · 23:00M. Regner2.38186571S. Kasnik1.53161111113WSep 12 · 22:00J. Louda1.736118111M. Regner2.0011711133LSep 12 · 13:31P. Saleny1.501111113M. Regner2.506110WSep 12 · 12:00M. Regner1.8311119113M. Sychra1.83881141
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