TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13129868
Played Sep 16Finished
Martin Sobisek
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1210811112611911
Martin Sopko
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:01 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeMartin Sobisek to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMartin Sobisek above · Martin Sopko below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-2
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 91 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Martin Sobisek at 54.1%
91 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sobisek 22–13 Martin Sopko Martin Sopko has won 13 of their 35 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 15:01What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Sobisek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-13 in 35
Sobisek
Wrong
gap of 9 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sobisek 1673 vs Sopko 1623
Sobisek
Wrong
both rated, 50 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sobisek 20% vs Sopko 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sobisek 50% vs Sopko 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sobisek -4 · Sopko +1
Sobisek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sobisek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sopko form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSobisek 1.73 / Sopko 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sobisek)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13129868
Sobisek1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 106 of 165
Up 2–0, closes it98% 60 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it84% 81 of 97
Sopko2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 32 of 70
Down 0–1, comes back33% 14 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSobisek6wins
AwaySopko4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSobisek leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSobisek66.7%4 of 6
AwaySopko50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sobisek6Sopko4n = 10Sobisek took 6 of 10
S2Sobisek6Sopko4n = 10Sobisek took 6 of 10
S3Sobisek5Sopko5n = 10split evenly
S4Sobisek4Sopko2n = 6Sobisek took 4 of 6
S5Sobisek2Sopko2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSobisekSopkoSobisek − SopkoBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.735.3+3.4per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSobisekSopkoBasisWin rate · lifetime560 / 1189 vs 164 / 35047.1%46.9%560 / 1189 vs 164 / 350Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.636.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SobisekSobisek 1.73/Sopko 2.00
Miss
What we said
54.1%
Sobisek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sopko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 03:30M. Sobisek29118641M. Sopko4291111113
WSep 8 · 23:00M. Sobisek331111113M. Sopko258890
WAug 27 · 01:00M. Sobisek51911911113M. Sopko4511811692
WJun 7 · 19:30M. Sobisek48911611113M. Sopko3611211662
WJun 6 · 02:00M. Sobisek331111113M. Sopko199550
LJun 5 · 20:30M. Sobisek4991111992M. Sopko42116311113
WMay 28 · 23:30M. Sobisek4113611113M. Sopko341111481
WMay 21 · 03:30M. Sobisek381116113M. Sopko2861480
LMay 20 · 22:30M. Sobisek227960M. Sopko331111113
LApr 26 · 14:30M. Sobisek4311661192M. Sopko49711119113
M. Sobisek10
WSep 16 · 02:00M. Sobisek2.50131111113M. Regner1.50158841LSep 16 · 24:00M. Sychra1.5011119113M. Sobisek2.50761151LSep 15 · 22:30M. Chlebecek1.6711119113M. Sobisek2.10951191LSep 13 · 03:00M. Sobisek1.50912120M. Vizek2.501114143LSep 13 · 02:30M. Sobisek1.808111181D. Tuma1.9111613113WSep 13 · 01:30M. Vizek2.205670M. Sobisek1.611111113WSep 13 · 24:00M. Sobisek1.5311119113R. Krejci2.38731181LSep 12 · 23:00P. Pycha1.839121112113M. Sobisek1.83111461062WSep 11 · 02:59M. Sobisek1.361110511133M. Vedmoch3.00512117112WSep 11 · 02:30M. Sobisek1.401311113M. Vedmoch2.7511450
M. Sopko10
WSep 15 · 23:30M. Sopko1.2891111113M. Chlebecek3.50116791LSep 15 · 22:00M. Sopko2.389111161M. Regner1.5311138113LSep 12 · 03:30S. Kadavy1.7311119113M. Sopko2.00491171LSep 12 · 02:30M. Sopko1.8311711952S. Kadavy1.83511611113LSep 12 · 01:30R. Krejci3.251111113M. Sopko1.338790WSep 12 · 24:00M. Sopko1.731111113V. Cermak2.001860WSep 11 · 23:00P. Pycha2.509511101M. Sopko1.5011113123WSep 9 · 03:30M. Sobisek1.65118641M. Sopko2.1091111113WSep 9 · 02:30M. Sopko1.441111113D. Tuma2.636960WSep 9 · 01:30V. Cermak1.80611581M. Sopko1.9111511113
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