TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13140631
Played Sep 17Finished
Michal Regner
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119811117119––
Jiri Zuzanek
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:55 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Regner to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Regner above · Jiri Zuzanek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 77 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Michal Regner at 54.0%
77 points played in total.
H2H Michal Regner 36–26 Jiri Zuzanek Jiri Zuzanek has won 26 of their 62 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:55What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Zuzanek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
36-26 in 62
Regner
Correct
gap of 10 in 62, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Regner 1682 vs Zuzanek 1627
Regner
Correct
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Regner 40% vs Zuzanek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Regner 50% vs Zuzanek 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Regner -2 · Zuzanek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zuzanek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zuzanek form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRegner 2.00 / Zuzanek 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Zuzanek)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13140631
Regner2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog46% won 110 of 241
Down 0–1, comes back25% 28 of 114
Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 69
Zuzanek1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite52% won 102 of 198
Up 2–0, closes it86% 53 of 62
Up 1–0, closes it72% 79 of 110
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRegner2wins
AwayZuzanek8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZuzanek leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRegner20%1 of 5
AwayZuzanek80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Regner5Zuzanek5n = 10split evenly
S2Regner2Zuzanek8n = 10Zuzanek took 8 of 10
S3Regner5Zuzanek5n = 10split evenly
S4Regner2Zuzanek6n = 8Zuzanek took 6 of 8
S5Regner1Zuzanek2n = 3Zuzanek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRegnerZuzanekR − ZBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.139.2−4.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRegnerZuzanekBasisWin rate · lifetime509 / 1055 vs 545 / 108448.3%50.3%509 / 1055 vs 545 / 1084Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZuzanekRegner 2.00/Zuzanek 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Zuzanek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Regner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 20 · 07:30M. Regner194870J. Zuzanek331111113
LJul 15 · 10:00M. Regner32611871J. Zuzanek3911611113
WJul 14 · 12:30M. Regner331111113J. Zuzanek187560
LJul 8 · 13:30M. Regner4011910101J. Zuzanek4381112123
LJul 8 · 10:00M. Regner26341451J. Zuzanek45111112113
LJun 14 · 23:00M. Regner4411911942J. Zuzanek48811711113
LMay 28 · 09:30M. Regner331265101J. Zuzanek44101111123
LMay 28 · 06:00M. Regner33971161J. Zuzanek3811115113
WMay 14 · 03:30M. Regner49971111113J. Zuzanek3711114292
LMay 13 · 23:30M. Regner4211651282J. Zuzanek474111110113
M. Regner10
LSep 17 · 08:58J. Zuzanek1.91131011113M. Regner1.801112861LSep 17 · 07:00M. Regner1.671261261J. Tazler2.10101114113LSep 17 · 06:00R. Wagner1.6111118113M. Regner2.20581191WSep 16 · 03:30M. Regner1.68121013113M. Sychra2.0510121191LSep 16 · 02:00M. Sobisek2.50131111113M. Regner1.50158841WSep 16 · 24:30M. Regner1.91111112113M. Chlebecek1.80971461WSep 15 · 23:00M. Regner1.831111113M. Sychra1.836970WSep 15 · 22:00M. Sopko2.389111161M. Regner1.5311138113LSep 13 · 03:00M. Regner1.8310280J. Louda1.831211113WSep 13 · 02:00R. Wagner1.404890M. Regner2.751111113
J. Zuzanek10
WSep 17 · 08:58J. Zuzanek1.91131011113M. Regner1.801112861LSep 17 · 07:30J. Zuzanek1.83571161R. Wagner1.8311118113WSep 17 · 06:30J. Tazler1.7391080J. Zuzanek2.001112113LSep 16 · 13:30J. Zuzanek1.8512111091V. Vejvoda1.8514912113WSep 16 · 12:30V. Vejvoda1.7366120J. Zuzanek2.001111143LSep 16 · 11:30J. Zuzanek2.002350M. Vondrak1.731111113WSep 16 · 10:30J. Tazler1.73911111292J. Zuzanek2.00118614113WSep 16 · 08:59J. Zuzanek2.0012114113J. Tazler1.731051191WSep 16 · 08:30M. Klement1.5011711942J. Zuzanek2.50911911113LSep 16 · 07:30J. Zuzanek2.0014138962J. Tazler1.7312111111113
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