TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13135726
Played Sep 16Finished
Jiri Zuzanek
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
211311511––––
Michal Vondrak
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:37 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeMichal Vondrak to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Zuzanek above · Michal Vondrak below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 43 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Michal Vondrak at 54.1%
43 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Zuzanek 43–57 Michal Vondrak Jiri Zuzanek has won 43 of their 100 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 15:37What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Vondrak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
43-57 in 100
Vondrak
Correct
gap of 14 in 100, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zuzanek 1632 vs Vondrak 1685
Vondrak
Correct
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zuzanek 60% vs Vondrak 40%
Zuzanek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zuzanek 50% vs Vondrak 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zuzanek +3 · Vondrak -2
Zuzanek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vondrak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vondrak form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZuzanek 2.00 / Vondrak 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Vondrak)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13135726
Zuzanek2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog48% won 107 of 222
Down 0–1, comes back31% 35 of 112
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 53
Vondrak1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 56 of 94
Up 2–0, closes it86% 19 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it71% 34 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZuzanek3wins
AwayVondrak7wins
6 of 10 to a deciderVondrak leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZuzanekn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayVondrak66.7%6 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zuzanek1Vondrak9n = 10Vondrak took 9 of 10
S2Zuzanek6Vondrak4n = 10Zuzanek took 6 of 10
S3Zuzanek6Vondrak4n = 10Zuzanek took 6 of 10
S4Zuzanek3Vondrak7n = 10Vondrak took 7 of 10
S5Zuzanek3Vondrak3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZuzanekVondrakZ − VBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match39.043.7−4.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZuzanekVondrakBasisWin rate · lifetime543 / 1081 vs 312 / 64350.2%48.5%543 / 1081 vs 312 / 643Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VondrakZuzanek 2.00/Vondrak 1.73
Hit
What we said
54.1%
Vondrak · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Vondrak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 19 · 06:30J. Zuzanek3941111852M. Vondrak47117711113
LAug 16 · 17:30J. Zuzanek371181171M. Vondrak4013115113
LAug 16 · 15:00J. Zuzanek3951111572M. Vondrak44117411113
LAug 1 · 17:28J. Zuzanek35971181M. Vondrak4211119113
WAug 1 · 14:00J. Zuzanek45511711113M. Vondrak4511711792
LJul 15 · 12:00J. Zuzanek41114101152M. Vondrak49711128113
LJul 13 · 20:00J. Zuzanek27611731M. Vondrak3811511113
LJul 9 · 20:30J. Zuzanek29381261M. Vondrak43111110113
WJun 21 · 19:00J. Zuzanek43511115113M. Vondrak4211961152
WMay 24 · 21:29J. Zuzanek551311911113M. Vondrak4715911662
J. Zuzanek10
WSep 16 · 10:30J. Tazler1.73911111292J. Zuzanek2.00118614113WSep 16 · 08:59J. Zuzanek2.0012114113J. Tazler1.731051191WSep 16 · 08:30M. Klement1.5011711942J. Zuzanek2.50911911113LSep 16 · 07:30J. Zuzanek2.0014138962J. Tazler1.7312111111113LSep 16 · 06:30V. Vejvoda1.8381211113J. Zuzanek1.831110641LSep 1 · 13:30J. Tazler1.73141148113J. Zuzanek2.00128111162LSep 1 · 12:30J. Zuzanek1.911171141J. Tazler1.8013117113WSep 1 · 11:00J. Zuzanek1.911011511113M. Vondrak1.8012911562WSep 1 · 10:00V. Vejvoda1.8311891182J. Zuzanek1.83911118113LAug 31 · 13:28J. Tazler1.831113123J. Zuzanek1.83511100
M. Vondrak10
LSep 16 · 12:00M. Vondrak1.61611731J. Tazler2.2011911113LSep 16 · 10:00M. Vondrak2.00111177102V. Vejvoda1.73851111123LSep 14 · 02:58M. Vondrak2.00511851R. Wagner1.7311911113WSep 14 · 02:30R. Wagner1.6111490M. Vondrak2.201311113WSep 14 · 01:00M. Sychra2.001011571M. Vondrak1.7312811113LSep 13 · 23:30M. Vondrak1.5311680J. Tazler2.381311113LSep 13 · 22:00M. Vondrak2.00115111572M. Klement1.73711517113LSep 9 · 21:28J. Louda1.44131112113M. Vondrak2.631591051LSep 9 · 20:00R. Rose1.801111113M. Vondrak1.913180LSep 1 · 11:00J. Zuzanek1.911011511113M. Vondrak1.8012911562
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