TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13119509
Played Sep 13Finished
Michal Vondrak
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1175111151517711
Milan Klement
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:04 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeMichal Vondrak to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Vondrak above · Milan Klement below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 15-17
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 100 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Michal Vondrak at 54.7%
100 points played in total.
H2H Michal Vondrak 19–21 Milan Klement Michal Vondrak has won 19 of their 40 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:04What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Klement
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-21 in 40
Klement
Correct
gap of 2 in 40, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vondrak 1697 vs Klement 1590
Vondrak
Wrong
both rated, 106 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vondrak 60% vs Klement 40%
Vondrak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vondrak 70% vs Klement 20%
Vondrak
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vondrak -2 · Klement -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Klement) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Klement form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVondrak 2.00 / Klement 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Vondrak)-0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13119509
Vondrak2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 63 of 138
Down 0–1, comes back33% 23 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 34
Klement1.73
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 106 of 190
Up 2–0, closes it91% 57 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it70% 78 of 111
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVondrak4wins
AwayKlement6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKlement leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVondrak20%1 of 5
AwayKlement40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vondrak5Klement5n = 10split evenly
S2Vondrak3Klement7n = 10Klement took 7 of 10
S3Vondrak5Klement5n = 10split evenly
S4Vondrak3Klement7n = 10Klement took 7 of 10
S5Vondrak3Klement1n = 4Vondrak took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVondrakKlementV − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.842.5−3.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVondrakKlementBasisWin rate · lifetime317 / 653 vs 447 / 87648.6%51%317 / 653 vs 447 / 876Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.439.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KlementVondrak 2.00/Klement 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Klement · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Klement won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 19 · 08:00M. Vondrak4211912642M. Klement529111011113
LJul 22 · 12:00M. Vondrak34117971M. Klement3851111113
WJun 24 · 15:00M. Vondrak44411711113M. Klement4711811982
WJun 2 · 18:00M. Vondrak46118511113M. Klement4671111892
LMay 12 · 06:30M. Vondrak29371181M. Klement4111118113
LApr 19 · 19:00M. Vondrak361111861M. Klement4381311113
WApr 14 · 07:30M. Vondrak50911118113M. Klement4711881192
WApr 12 · 21:28M. Vondrak4181111113M. Klement28117371
LApr 12 · 20:00M. Vondrak32771171M. Klement4111118113
LJan 24 · 15:00M. Vondrak34119681M. Klement4291111113
M. Vondrak10
LSep 9 · 21:28J. Louda1.44131112113M. Vondrak2.631591051LSep 9 · 20:00R. Rose1.801111113M. Vondrak1.913180WSep 9 · 19:00J. Louda1.4012811982M. Vondrak2.751011511113WSep 9 · 18:30M. Vondrak1.5711117113M. Sychra2.25971131WSep 4 · 09:30M. Vondrak1.5711155113M. Regner2.259131161WSep 4 · 08:30M. Regner2.10118871M. Vondrak1.6791111113WSep 4 · 07:30M. Vondrak1.401111113J. Stolfa2.759790WSep 4 · 06:30D. Hofman1.7311980M. Vondrak2.001311113WSep 1 · 12:58V. Vejvoda1.80118941M. Vondrak1.9181111113LSep 1 · 12:00V. Vejvoda1.831112113M. Vondrak1.8381060
M. Klement10
LSep 12 · 09:30M. Sychra1.6781111133M. Klement2.101177111WSep 12 · 08:30M. Klement2.38118116113M. Sychra1.5391131162WSep 12 · 07:00M. Klement1.61119114133S. Kasnik2.20911711112LSep 12 · 06:00P. Saleny2.10111158113M. Klement1.6745111152LSep 11 · 02:30S. Kasnik2.201161311113M. Klement1.6181115982LSep 11 · 01:00M. Sychra1.5711119113M. Klement2.25761181LSep 10 · 23:30M. Klement1.80116761M. Regner1.9191111113LSep 10 · 22:00M. Klement2.1081111982J. Louda1.67118811113LSep 9 · 21:00M. Klement1.8371111792D. Hofman1.83113211113LSep 9 · 20:30M. Skakal2.1071111113M. Klement1.67115791
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