TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13135624
Played Sep 16Finished
Michal Vondrak
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611119711311––
Jakub Tazler
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:58 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeMichal Vondrak to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Vondrak above · Jakub Tazler below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 69 set 4, 3-11 — our read held Michal Vondrak at 59.3%
69 points played in total.
H2H Michal Vondrak 20–8 Jakub Tazler Jakub Tazler has won 8 of their 28 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:58What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Vondrak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-8 in 28
Vondrak
Wrong
gap of 12 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vondrak 1696 vs Tazler 1688
Vondrak
Wrong
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vondrak 60% vs Tazler 20%
Vondrak
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vondrak 40% vs Tazler 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vondrak +1 · Tazler -4
Tazler
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Vondrak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tazler form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVondrak 1.61 / Tazler 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Vondrak)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13135624
Vondrak1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 56 of 94
Up 2–0, closes it86% 19 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it71% 34 of 48
Tazler2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog50% won 98 of 196
Down 0–1, comes back28% 28 of 101
Down 0–2, comes back16% 9 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVondrak5wins
AwayTazler5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVondrak60%3 of 5
AwayTazler60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vondrak5Tazler5n = 10split evenly
S2Vondrak6Tazler4n = 10Vondrak took 6 of 10
S3Vondrak3Tazler7n = 10Tazler took 7 of 10
S4Vondrak4Tazler4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVondrakTazlerV − TBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.138.3−0.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVondrakTazlerBasisWin rate · lifetime313 / 644 vs 389 / 71648.6%54.3%313 / 644 vs 389 / 716Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VondrakVondrak 1.61/Tazler 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.3%
Vondrak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Tazler won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 23:30M. Vondrak2511680J. Tazler351311113
WSep 1 · 10:30M. Vondrak521111127113J. Tazler4053141172
WAug 19 · 13:00M. Vondrak4291111113J. Tazler35118881
LAug 19 · 11:00M. Vondrak47111112942J. Tazler538131011113
WAug 16 · 19:30M. Vondrak4111118113J. Tazler34591191
LAug 12 · 17:30M. Vondrak391314571J. Tazler49111611113
LAug 12 · 15:30M. Vondrak259880J. Tazler331111113
WAug 9 · 19:30M. Vondrak3911116113J. Tazler32691161
WJul 18 · 21:00M. Vondrak4181111113J. Tazler28114581
LJul 18 · 19:00M. Vondrak30513481J. Tazler44111111113
M. Vondrak10
WSep 16 · 11:30J. Zuzanek2.002350M. Vondrak1.731111113LSep 16 · 10:00M. Vondrak2.00111177102V. Vejvoda1.73851111123LSep 14 · 02:58M. Vondrak2.00511851R. Wagner1.7311911113WSep 14 · 02:30R. Wagner1.6111490M. Vondrak2.201311113WSep 14 · 01:00M. Sychra2.001011571M. Vondrak1.7312811113LSep 13 · 23:30M. Vondrak1.5311680J. Tazler2.381311113LSep 13 · 22:00M. Vondrak2.00115111572M. Klement1.73711517113LSep 9 · 21:28J. Louda1.44131112113M. Vondrak2.631591051LSep 9 · 20:00R. Rose1.801111113M. Vondrak1.913180WSep 9 · 19:00J. Louda1.4012811982M. Vondrak2.751011511113
J. Tazler10
LSep 16 · 11:00V. Vejvoda1.67381111113J. Tazler2.1011118682LSep 16 · 10:30J. Tazler1.73911111292J. Zuzanek2.00118614113LSep 16 · 08:59J. Zuzanek2.0012114113J. Tazler1.731051191LSep 16 · 08:00J. Tazler2.2011890V. Vejvoda1.611311113WSep 16 · 07:30J. Zuzanek2.0014138962J. Tazler1.7312111111113LSep 16 · 06:00J. Tazler1.5711791172M. Klement2.25711117113WSep 14 · 03:30J. Tazler2.0711119113M. Klement1.65751181WSep 14 · 01:30J. Tazler2.001112113R. Wagner1.7391060LSep 14 · 24:30M. Klement1.611011126123J. Tazler2.201281011102WSep 13 · 23:30M. Vondrak1.5311680J. Tazler2.381311113
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