TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13120454
Played Sep 14Finished
Milan Klement
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
101211812106111210
Jakub Tazler
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:14 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeMilan Klement to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMilan Klement above · Jakub Tazler below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 102 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Milan Klement at 54.9%
102 points played in total.
H2H Milan Klement 4–4 Jakub Tazler Dead even across their 8 meetings.
Last 8 · 4–4Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:14What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Klement
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-4 in 8
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Klement 1610 vs Tazler 1722
Tazler
Wrong
both rated, 112 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Klement 60% vs Tazler 80%
Tazler
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Klement 30% vs Tazler 80%
Tazler
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Klement -1 · Tazler +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Klement)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tazler form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKlement 1.61 / Tazler 2.20
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Tazler)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13120454
Klement1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 106 of 190
Up 2–0, closes it91% 57 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it70% 78 of 111
Tazler2.20
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog49% won 94 of 192
Down 0–1, comes back28% 29 of 102
Down 0–2, comes back18% 10 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeKlement4wins
AwayTazler4wins
3 of 8 to a deciderLevel at 4–4, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKlement100%3 of 3
AwayTazler80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Klement3Tazler5n = 8Tazler took 5 of 8
S2Klement7Tazler1n = 8Klement took 7 of 8
S3Klement6Tazler2n = 8Klement took 6 of 8
S4Klement1Tazler5n = 6Tazler took 5 of 6
S5Klement1Tazler2n = 3Tazler took 2 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricKlementTazlerK − TBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set35−2of 8Avg pointsper match41.639.8+1.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKlementTazlerBasisWin rate · lifetime449 / 879 vs 388 / 71251.1%54.5%449 / 879 vs 388 / 712Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KlementKlement 1.61/Tazler 2.20
Hit
What we said
54.9%
Klement · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Klement won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 14 · 24:30M. Klement511011126123J. Tazler511281011102
LSep 9 · 18:30M. Klement51131111792J. Tazler51155911113
LSep 3 · 07:00M. Klement346111161J. Tazler4411913113
LAug 10 · 02:30M. Klement469211151J. Tazler5011235113
LAug 5 · 20:00M. Klement45511118102J. Tazler46113911123
WJul 12 · 20:00M. Klement361311123J. Tazler28117100
WJul 12 · 24:00M. Klement331111113J. Tazler186750
WJun 21 · 22:30M. Klement3711114113J. Tazler30581161
M. Klement10
WSep 14 · 02:00M. Sychra1.67541321M. Klement2.10111111113LSep 13 · 23:00M. Klement2.38811981R. Wagner1.5311911113WSep 13 · 22:00M. Vondrak2.00115111572M. Klement1.73711517113LSep 12 · 09:30M. Sychra1.6781111133M. Klement2.101177111WSep 12 · 08:30M. Klement2.38118116113M. Sychra1.5391131162WSep 12 · 07:00M. Klement1.61119114133S. Kasnik2.20911711112LSep 12 · 06:00P. Saleny2.10111158113M. Klement1.6745111152LSep 11 · 02:30S. Kasnik2.201161311113M. Klement1.6181115982LSep 11 · 01:00M. Sychra1.5711119113M. Klement2.25761181LSep 10 · 23:30M. Klement1.80116761M. Regner1.9191111113
J. Tazler10
WSep 14 · 01:30J. Tazler2.001112113R. Wagner1.7391060WSep 13 · 23:30M. Vondrak1.5311680J. Tazler2.381311113WSep 13 · 22:30J. Tazler1.911111113M. Sychra1.805420LSep 13 · 21:29J. Tazler3.00101211992R. Pacha1.361210811113WSep 13 · 20:00J. Tazler1.911111113M. Sychra1.805990WSep 13 · 19:30L. Tonar2.0099111142J. Tazler1.73111176113WSep 13 · 18:00J. Tazler2.7511119123R. Pacha1.409911101LSep 10 · 03:29J. Tazler2.10811751M. Skakal1.6711611113WSep 10 · 01:30J. Tazler2.0061111113M. Sychra1.73112321WSep 10 · 24:30M. Regner1.508613101J. Tazler2.50111111123
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