Jakub Tazler vs Martin Skakal 1-3

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProMatch #13107609

Played Sep 10Finished

Jakub Tazler

Home

2.10

At publish

Won last 5

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 5

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

811116711511––

Martin Skakal

Away

1.67

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

How it is goingJakub Tazler above · Martin Skakal below

Set 1 · 8-11

Set 2 · 11-6

Set 3 · 7-11

Set 4 · 5-11

Point 70 set 4, 5-11

70 points played in total.

H2H Jakub Tazler 2–5 Martin Skakal Jakub Tazler has won 2 of their 7 meetings.

Last 7 · 2–5Same sideHead to head

They have already met 2 times today · last one 6h before this match

Tazler beat Skakal 3-0.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Skakal)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Skakal form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsTazler 2.10 / Skakal 1.67

Signal prob.43% / 57%

Edge (Skakal)+1.2pp

Czech Liga Pro · #13107609

Tazler2.10

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Won last 5

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog46% won 96 of 208

Down 0–1, comes back27% 31 of 114

Down 0–2, comes back15% 10 of 65

Skakal1.67

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite58% won 38 of 66

Up 2–0, closes it95% 19 of 20

Up 1–0, closes it86% 25 of 29

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 7 meetings

HomeTazler2wins

AwaySkakal5wins

2 of 7 to a deciderSkakal leads 5–2, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeTazler40%2 of 5

AwaySkakaln = 2, below the 3 needed

Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Tazler5Skakal2n = 7Tazler took 5 of 7

S2Tazler1Skakal6n = 7Skakal took 6 of 7

S3Tazler4Skakal3n = 7Tazler took 4 of 7

S4Tazler2Skakal3n = 5Skakal took 3 of 5

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home114%

3–1Four sets, home114%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away229%

1–3Four sets, away229%

0–3Straight, away114%

These 7 meetings

MetricTazlerSkakalT − SBasisWins25−3in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match40.342.6−2.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricTazlerSkakalBasisWin rate · lifetime397 / 720 vs 75 / 14655.1%51.4%397 / 720 vs 75 / 146Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.7per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Skakal

Tazler 2.10/Skakal 1.67

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

57%

Skakal · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Skakal won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record7

LSep 9 · 22:30J. Tazler—10812101M. Skakal—121110123

WSep 9 · 21:30J. Tazler—1113133M. Skakal—411110

LSep 9 · 19:00J. Tazler—8590M. Skakal—1111113

LAug 19 · 22:30J. Tazler—1181681M. Skakal—91118113

LAug 13 · 23:00J. Tazler—23751172M. Skakal—2111114113

LAug 5 · 03:30J. Tazler—11712972M. Skakal—7111011113

WAug 4 · 22:30J. Tazler—12711113M. Skakal—1011971

J. Tazler10

WSep 10 · 01:30J. Tazler2.0061111113M. Sychra1.73112321 WSep 10 · 24:30M. Regner1.508613101J. Tazler2.50111111123 WSep 9 · 23:30M. Pikous1.779990J. Tazler1.931111113 LSep 9 · 22:30J. Tazler2.2010812101M. Skakal1.61121110123 WSep 9 · 21:30M. Skakal1.72411110J. Tazler2.001113133 WSep 9 · 20:00D. Hofman1.67101450J. Tazler2.101216113 LSep 9 · 19:00M. Skakal1.731111113J. Tazler2.008590 WSep 9 · 18:30J. Tazler2.38155911113M. Klement1.53131111792 LSep 8 · 12:58J. Tazler2.1096100S. Kasnik1.671111123 WSep 8 · 12:00J. Tazler2.001111113S. Kasnik1.737590

M. Skakal10

LSep 10 · 02:00M. Skakal1.57111179102M. Regner2.25661111123 WSep 10 · 01:00M. Skakal2.0011115113M. Pikous1.73791161 LSep 10 · 24:00M. Sychra1.801114113M. Skakal1.9161270 WSep 9 · 22:30J. Tazler2.2010812101M. Skakal1.61121110123 LSep 9 · 21:30M. Skakal1.72411110J. Tazler2.001113133 WSep 9 · 20:30M. Skakal2.1071111113M. Klement1.67115791 WSep 9 · 19:00M. Skakal1.731111113J. Tazler2.008590 WSep 9 · 18:00D. Hofman2.0011118342M. Skakal1.73561111113 LAug 31 · 03:30V. Vejvoda1.6511116113M. Skakal2.10691161 LAug 31 · 02:30M. Skakal2.1071260V. Vejvoda1.671114113

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