TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13120208
Played Sep 13Finished
Milan Klement
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811119911811––
Richard Wagner
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:17 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeRichard Wagner to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMilan Klement above · Richard Wagner below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 78 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Richard Wagner at 59.7%
78 points played in total.
H2H Milan Klement 0–2 Richard Wagner Milan Klement has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:17What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Wagner
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Klement 1604 vs Wagner 1696
Wagner
Correct
both rated, 91 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Klement 60% vs Wagner 80%
Wagner
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Klement 30% vs Wagner 60%
Wagner
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Klement +1 · Wagner +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Wagner) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wagner form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKlement 2.38 / Wagner 1.53
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Wagner)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13120208
Klement2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 60 of 147
Down 0–1, comes back22% 15 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 37
Wagner1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite56% won 65 of 116
Up 2–0, closes it97% 31 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it78% 47 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKlement0wins
AwayWagner2wins
Wagner leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricKlementWagnerK − WBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match29.538.5−9.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKlementWagnerBasisWin rate · lifetime448 / 877 vs 103 / 19551.1%52.8%448 / 877 vs 103 / 195Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.236.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WagnerKlement 2.38/Wagner 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.6%
Wagner · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Wagner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LJul 22 · 13:29M. Klement238870R. Wagner331111113
LJul 22 · 11:30M. Klement36137791R. Wagner44111111113
M. Klement10
WSep 13 · 22:00M. Vondrak2.00115111572M. Klement1.73711517113LSep 12 · 09:30M. Sychra1.6781111133M. Klement2.101177111WSep 12 · 08:30M. Klement2.38118116113M. Sychra1.5391131162WSep 12 · 07:00M. Klement1.61119114133S. Kasnik2.20911711112LSep 12 · 06:00P. Saleny2.10111158113M. Klement1.6745111152LSep 11 · 02:30S. Kasnik2.201161311113M. Klement1.6181115982LSep 11 · 01:00M. Sychra1.5711119113M. Klement2.25761181LSep 10 · 23:30M. Klement1.80116761M. Regner1.9191111113LSep 10 · 22:00M. Klement2.1081111982J. Louda1.67118811113LSep 9 · 21:00M. Klement1.8371111792D. Hofman1.83113211113
R. Wagner10
WSep 13 · 03:29R. Rose1.8331171182R. Wagner1.83119114113LSep 13 · 02:00R. Wagner1.404890M. Regner2.751111113WSep 13 · 01:00R. Wagner1.8311811113J. Louda1.83911441WSep 13 · 24:00S. Kasnik2.20114981R. Wagner1.6151111113WSep 12 · 22:30R. Rose1.6711981272R. Wagner2.106111110113LSep 9 · 13:30R. Wagner1.54811781F. Pusch2.1811611113LSep 9 · 12:00P. Saleny2.0012119113R. Wagner1.731051171WSep 9 · 11:00F. Pusch2.0031260R. Wagner1.731114113WSep 9 · 10:30R. Wagner1.618111210143V. Vejvoda2.201161012122LSep 9 · 09:00R. Wagner1.5381070V. Vejvoda2.381112113
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