TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13120227
Played Sep 13Finished
Jakub Tazler
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1191199111210––
Robin Pacha
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:25 and never touched — 70.9% is still 70.9%
Graded at full timeRobin Pacha to win
70.9%
70.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJakub Tazler above · Robin Pacha below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 82 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Robin Pacha at 70.9%
82 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Tazler 0–2 Robin Pacha Jakub Tazler has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:25What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Pacha
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Tazler 1652 vs Pacha 1608
Tazler
Correct
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tazler 60% vs Pacha 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tazler 60% vs Pacha 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tazler -1 · Pacha -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Pacha) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pacha form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTazler 2.75 / Pacha 1.40
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Pacha)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13120227
Tazler2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog49% won 94 of 192
Down 0–1, comes back28% 29 of 102
Down 0–2, comes back18% 10 of 57
Pacha1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite69% won 46 of 67
Up 2–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it87% 27 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeTazler0wins
AwayPacha2wins
Pacha leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricTazlerPachaT − PBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match28.536.5−8.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTazlerPachaBasisWin rate · lifetime397 / 721 vs 182 / 33055.1%55.2%397 / 721 vs 182 / 330Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PachaTazler 2.75/Pacha 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.3%
Pacha · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Tazler won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LJun 21 · 19:30J. Tazler36971191R. Pacha4011117113
LMar 5 · 16:30J. Tazler216960R. Pacha331111113
J. Tazler10
WSep 13 · 20:00J. Tazler1.911111113M. Sychra1.805990WSep 13 · 19:30L. Tonar2.0099111142J. Tazler1.73111176113LSep 10 · 03:29J. Tazler2.10811751M. Skakal1.6711611113WSep 10 · 01:30J. Tazler2.0061111113M. Sychra1.73112321WSep 10 · 24:30M. Regner1.508613101J. Tazler2.50111111123WSep 9 · 23:30M. Pikous1.779990J. Tazler1.931111113LSep 9 · 22:30J. Tazler2.2010812101M. Skakal1.61121110123WSep 9 · 21:30M. Skakal1.72411110J. Tazler2.001113133WSep 9 · 20:00D. Hofman1.67101450J. Tazler2.101216113LSep 9 · 19:00M. Skakal1.731111113J. Tazler2.008590
R. Pacha10
LSep 13 · 19:00R. Pacha1.73108121192M. Sychra2.001211109113LSep 5 · 21:28R. Wagner1.611111113R. Pacha2.206780WSep 5 · 20:30R. Pacha1.6711118113D. Hofman2.10551161WSep 5 · 19:00R. Pacha1.671111113K. Schopf2.107580LSep 5 · 18:00R. Wagner1.61111111113R. Pacha2.20613691WAug 29 · 20:59R. Pacha1.5311119113M. Sobisek2.38761191LAug 29 · 20:00R. Pacha1.6711116882M. Sychra2.10761111113WAug 29 · 19:30M. Sobisek2.75155981R. Pacha1.40131111113LAug 29 · 18:00R. Pacha1.67149591V. Vejvoda2.10121111113WAug 23 · 20:58M. Sopko2.0011139792R. Pacha1.735111111113
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