TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13120218
Played Sep 13Finished
Michal Vondrak
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1113611811––––
Jakub Tazler
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:16 and never touched — 62.4% is still 62.4%
Graded at full timeMichal Vondrak to win
62.4%
62.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Vondrak above · Jakub Tazler below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 60 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Michal Vondrak at 62.4%
60 points played in total.
H2H Michal Vondrak 20–7 Jakub Tazler Jakub Tazler has won 7 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:16What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Vondrak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-7 in 27
Vondrak
Wrong
gap of 13 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vondrak 1683 vs Tazler 1725
Tazler
Correct
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vondrak 40% vs Tazler 80%
Tazler
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vondrak 70% vs Tazler 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vondrak -3 · Tazler +1
Vondrak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Vondrak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tazler form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVondrak 1.53 / Tazler 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Vondrak)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13120218
Vondrak1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 55 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it86% 19 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it70% 33 of 47
Tazler2.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog49% won 94 of 192
Down 0–1, comes back28% 29 of 102
Down 0–2, comes back18% 10 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVondrak6wins
AwayTazler4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderVondrak leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVondrak66.7%4 of 6
AwayTazler50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vondrak6Tazler4n = 10Vondrak took 6 of 10
S2Vondrak6Tazler4n = 10Vondrak took 6 of 10
S3Vondrak4Tazler6n = 10Tazler took 6 of 10
S4Vondrak4Tazler5n = 9Tazler took 5 of 9
S5Vondrak2Tazler1n = 3Vondrak took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVondrakTazlerV − TBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.440.0+1.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVondrakTazlerBasisWin rate · lifetime312 / 642 vs 387 / 71048.6%54.5%312 / 642 vs 387 / 710Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VondrakVondrak 1.53/Tazler 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.4%
Vondrak · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Tazler won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 10:30M. Vondrak521111127113J. Tazler4053141172
WAug 19 · 13:00M. Vondrak4291111113J. Tazler35118881
LAug 19 · 11:00M. Vondrak47111112942J. Tazler538131011113
WAug 16 · 19:30M. Vondrak4111118113J. Tazler34591191
LAug 12 · 17:30M. Vondrak391314571J. Tazler49111611113
LAug 12 · 15:30M. Vondrak259880J. Tazler331111113
WAug 9 · 19:30M. Vondrak3911116113J. Tazler32691161
WJul 18 · 21:00M. Vondrak4181111113J. Tazler28114581
LJul 18 · 19:00M. Vondrak30513481J. Tazler44111111113
WJul 18 · 15:30M. Vondrak581871110123J. Tazler521611312102
M. Vondrak10
LSep 13 · 22:00M. Vondrak2.00115111572M. Klement1.73711517113LSep 9 · 21:28J. Louda1.44131112113M. Vondrak2.631591051LSep 9 · 20:00R. Rose1.801111113M. Vondrak1.913180WSep 9 · 19:00J. Louda1.4012811982M. Vondrak2.751011511113WSep 9 · 18:30M. Vondrak1.5711117113M. Sychra2.25971131WSep 4 · 09:30M. Vondrak1.5711155113M. Regner2.259131161WSep 4 · 08:30M. Regner2.10118871M. Vondrak1.6791111113WSep 4 · 07:30M. Vondrak1.401111113J. Stolfa2.759790WSep 4 · 06:30D. Hofman1.7311980M. Vondrak2.001311113WSep 1 · 12:58V. Vejvoda1.80118941M. Vondrak1.9181111113
J. Tazler10
WSep 13 · 22:30J. Tazler1.911111113M. Sychra1.805420LSep 13 · 21:29J. Tazler3.00101211992R. Pacha1.361210811113WSep 13 · 20:00J. Tazler1.911111113M. Sychra1.805990WSep 13 · 19:30L. Tonar2.0099111142J. Tazler1.73111176113WSep 13 · 18:00J. Tazler2.7511119123R. Pacha1.409911101LSep 10 · 03:29J. Tazler2.10811751M. Skakal1.6711611113WSep 10 · 01:30J. Tazler2.0061111113M. Sychra1.73112321WSep 10 · 24:30M. Regner1.508613101J. Tazler2.50111111123WSep 9 · 23:30M. Pikous1.779990J. Tazler1.931111113LSep 9 · 22:30J. Tazler2.2010812101M. Skakal1.61121110123
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