TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13127518
Played Sep 14Finished
Michal Vondrak
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511119811511––
Richard Wagner
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingMichal Vondrak above · Richard Wagner below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 71 set 4, 5-11
71 points played in total.
H2H Michal Vondrak 8–5 Richard Wagner Richard Wagner has won 5 of their 13 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Vondrak beat Wagner 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Wagner)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVondrak 2.00 / Wagner 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Wagner)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13127518
Vondrak2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 63 of 138
Down 0–1, comes back33% 23 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 34
Wagner1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 65 of 116
Up 2–0, closes it97% 31 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it78% 47 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVondrak7wins
AwayWagner3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderVondrak leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVondrak75%3 of 4
AwayWagner33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vondrak4Wagner6n = 10Wagner took 6 of 10
S2Vondrak7Wagner3n = 10Vondrak took 7 of 10
S3Vondrak7Wagner3n = 10Vondrak took 7 of 10
S4Vondrak1Wagner7n = 8Wagner took 7 of 8
S5Vondrak5Wagner0n = 5Vondrak took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVondrakWagnerV − WBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.937.7+4.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVondrakWagnerBasisWin rate · lifetime314 / 645 vs 105 / 19948.7%52.8%314 / 645 vs 105 / 199Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.536.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WagnerVondrak 2.00/Wagner 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Wagner · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Wagner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 02:30M. Vondrak351311113R. Wagner2411490
WAug 12 · 14:00M. Vondrak46611117113R. Wagner4111741182
WAug 9 · 20:30M. Vondrak52714119113R. Wagner44111271132
WAug 9 · 14:30M. Vondrak47811116113R. Wagner4411891152
WAug 1 · 16:00M. Vondrak5613111110113R. Wagner4715771262
LJul 28 · 19:30M. Vondrak33891151R. Wagner3711114113
LJul 28 · 15:00M. Vondrak28811271R. Wagner4111811113
WJul 25 · 16:00M. Vondrak331111113R. Wagner179440
LJul 25 · 11:00M. Vondrak381110981R. Wagner4281211113
WJul 22 · 10:30M. Vondrak51119911113R. Wagner4071111562
M. Vondrak10
WSep 14 · 02:30R. Wagner1.6111490M. Vondrak2.201311113WSep 14 · 01:00M. Sychra2.001011571M. Vondrak1.7312811113LSep 13 · 23:30M. Vondrak1.5311680J. Tazler2.381311113LSep 13 · 22:00M. Vondrak2.00115111572M. Klement1.73711517113LSep 9 · 21:28J. Louda1.44131112113M. Vondrak2.631591051LSep 9 · 20:00R. Rose1.801111113M. Vondrak1.913180WSep 9 · 19:00J. Louda1.4012811982M. Vondrak2.751011511113WSep 9 · 18:30M. Vondrak1.5711117113M. Sychra2.25971131WSep 4 · 09:30M. Vondrak1.5711155113M. Regner2.259131161WSep 4 · 08:30M. Regner2.10118871M. Vondrak1.6791111113
R. Wagner10
LSep 14 · 02:30R. Wagner1.6111490M. Vondrak2.201311113LSep 14 · 01:30J. Tazler2.001112113R. Wagner1.7391060WSep 14 · 24:00R. Wagner1.9111116113M. Sychra1.80971161WSep 13 · 23:00M. Klement2.38811981R. Wagner1.5311911113WSep 13 · 03:29R. Rose1.8331171182R. Wagner1.83119114113LSep 13 · 02:00R. Wagner1.404890M. Regner2.751111113WSep 13 · 01:00R. Wagner1.8311811113J. Louda1.83911441WSep 13 · 24:00S. Kasnik2.20114981R. Wagner1.6151111113WSep 12 · 22:30R. Rose1.6711981272R. Wagner2.106111110113LSep 9 · 13:30R. Wagner1.54811781F. Pusch2.1811611113
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