TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13121178
Played Sep 14Finished
Richard Wagner
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119117611116––
Martin Sychra
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:19 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Sychra to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRichard Wagner above · Martin Sychra below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 72 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Martin Sychra at 54.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Richard Wagner 2–5 Martin Sychra Richard Wagner has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:19What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Sychra
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-5 in 7
Sychra
Wrong
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wagner 1704 vs Sychra 1618
Wagner
Correct
both rated, 87 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wagner 80% vs Sychra 20%
Wagner
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wagner 70% vs Sychra 40%
Wagner
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wagner +2 · Sychra -3
Sychra
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Wagner) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sychra form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWagner 1.91 / Sychra 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Wagner)+5.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13121178
Wagner1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog49% won 28 of 57
Down 0–1, comes back23% 7 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 13
Sychra1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 221 of 374
Up 2–0, closes it93% 101 of 109
Up 1–0, closes it80% 154 of 193
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeWagner2wins
AwaySychra5wins
2 of 7 to a deciderSychra leads 5–2, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWagnern = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySychra80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wagner2Sychra5n = 7Sychra took 5 of 7
S2Wagner2Sychra5n = 7Sychra took 5 of 7
S3Wagner3Sychra4n = 7Sychra took 4 of 7
S4Wagner1Sychra3n = 4Sychra took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away343%
These 7 meetings
MetricWagnerSychraW − SBasisWins25−3in 7 meetingsFirst set25−3of 7Avg pointsper match35.139.7−4.6per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWagnerSychraBasisWin rate · lifetime104 / 196 vs 803 / 152653.1%52.6%104 / 196 vs 803 / 1526Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WagnerWagner 1.91/Sychra 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Wagner · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Wagner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LAug 18 · 15:00R. Wagner2394100M. Sychra341111123
LAug 18 · 10:30R. Wagner5912131112112M. Sychra551411314133
WAug 8 · 11:30R. Wagner3811411123M. Sychra356118101
WAug 8 · 09:00R. Wagner44711114113M. Sychra4411951182
LAug 8 · 06:30R. Wagner258890M. Sychra331111113
LJul 3 · 11:00R. Wagner27116100M. Sychra361311123
LJul 3 · 07:30R. Wagner30116761M. Sychra4181111113
R. Wagner10
WSep 13 · 23:00M. Klement2.38811981R. Wagner1.5311911113WSep 13 · 03:29R. Rose1.8331171182R. Wagner1.83119114113LSep 13 · 02:00R. Wagner1.404890M. Regner2.751111113WSep 13 · 01:00R. Wagner1.8311811113J. Louda1.83911441WSep 13 · 24:00S. Kasnik2.20114981R. Wagner1.6151111113WSep 12 · 22:30R. Rose1.6711981272R. Wagner2.106111110113LSep 9 · 13:30R. Wagner1.54811781F. Pusch2.1811611113LSep 9 · 12:00P. Saleny2.0012119113R. Wagner1.731051171WSep 9 · 11:00F. Pusch2.0031260R. Wagner1.731114113WSep 9 · 10:30R. Wagner1.618111210143V. Vejvoda2.201161012122
M. Sychra10
LSep 13 · 22:30J. Tazler1.911111113M. Sychra1.805420LSep 13 · 20:59L. Tonar1.6731113113M. Sychra2.101191171LSep 13 · 20:00J. Tazler1.911111113M. Sychra1.805990WSep 13 · 19:00R. Pacha1.73108121192M. Sychra2.001211109113LSep 13 · 18:30M. Sychra1.831144101L. Tonar1.8371111123WSep 12 · 13:01M. Sychra1.8571111123S. Kasnik1.851155101LSep 12 · 12:00M. Regner1.8311119113M. Sychra1.83881141WSep 12 · 11:00S. Kasnik1.738911101M. Sychra2.0011119123LSep 12 · 10:30M. Sychra2.504511101P. Saleny1.5011117123WSep 12 · 09:30M. Sychra1.6781111133M. Klement2.101177111
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