TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13120274
Played Sep 13Finished
Martin Sychra
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1174114111012––
Lukas Tonar
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:44 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Sychra to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMartin Sychra above · Lukas Tonar below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 70 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Martin Sychra at 54.0%
70 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sychra 11–17 Lukas Tonar Martin Sychra has won 11 of their 28 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:44What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Tonar
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-17 in 28
Tonar
Correct
gap of 6 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sychra 1683 vs Tonar 1567
Sychra
Wrong
both rated, 116 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sychra 60% vs Tonar 20%
Sychra
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sychra 60% vs Tonar 40%
Sychra
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sychra +1 · Tonar -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sychra)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tonar form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSychra 1.83 / Tonar 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sychra)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13120274
Sychra1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Tonar1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSychra3wins
AwayTonar7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderTonar leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSychra25%1 of 4
AwayTonar66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sychra4Tonar6n = 10Tonar took 6 of 10
S2Sychra5Tonar5n = 10split evenly
S3Sychra2Tonar8n = 10Tonar took 8 of 10
S4Sychra3Tonar6n = 9Tonar took 6 of 9
S5Sychra2Tonar1n = 3Sychra took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSychraTonarS − TBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.244.3−8.1per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSychraTonarBasisWin rate · lifetime802 / 1521 vs 128 / 26952.7%47.6%802 / 1521 vs 128 / 269Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.135.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SychraSychra 1.83/Tonar 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Sychra · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Tonar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 19 · 21:29M. Sychra3541112622L. Tonar491161011113
WJun 19 · 19:00M. Sychra5510111211113L. Tonar4712714862
WJun 5 · 18:30M. Sychra4412174113L. Tonar4410151181
LMay 29 · 20:00M. Sychra4011111081L. Tonar4513912113
LApr 19 · 16:00M. Sychra177820L. Tonar331111113
WMar 27 · 20:00M. Sychra557111311133L. Tonar541113118112
LMar 27 · 17:00M. Sychra29117561L. Tonar4181111113
LMar 8 · 19:30M. Sychra351351251L. Tonar47111114113
LFeb 22 · 21:59M. Sychra23611421L. Tonar4111811113
LFeb 22 · 21:30M. Sychra29113871L. Tonar4291111113
M. Sychra10
WSep 13 · 19:00R. Pacha1.73108121192M. Sychra2.001211109113WSep 12 · 13:01M. Sychra1.8571111123S. Kasnik1.851155101LSep 12 · 12:00M. Regner1.8311119113M. Sychra1.83881141WSep 12 · 11:00S. Kasnik1.738911101M. Sychra2.0011119123LSep 12 · 10:30M. Sychra2.504511101P. Saleny1.5011117123WSep 12 · 09:30M. Sychra1.6781111133M. Klement2.101177111LSep 12 · 08:30M. Klement2.38118116113M. Sychra1.5391131162WSep 12 · 07:30M. Sychra2.7551111113P. Saleny1.40119881WSep 12 · 06:30S. Kasnik1.67911451M. Sychra2.1011811113WSep 11 · 02:59J. Louda1.50911591M. Sychra2.5011911113
L. Tonar10
LSep 13 · 19:30L. Tonar2.0099111142J. Tazler1.73111176113LAug 22 · 20:58L. Tonar1.83911111072D. Sidletskyi1.83119412113WAug 22 · 20:30D. Sidletskyi1.6710960L. Tonar2.101211113LAug 22 · 19:30L. Tonar1.7351040D. Hofman2.001112113LAug 22 · 18:30R. Wagner1.441111113L. Tonar2.632680LJul 30 · 21:00L. Tonar1.61981121K. Kapras2.2011115113WJul 30 · 20:30L. Tonar1.57111139113K. Kapras2.2575111192LJul 30 · 19:00L. Tonar1.67511581J. Tazler2.1011411113LJul 30 · 18:00V. Vejvoda1.61491111113L. Tonar2.2011117992WJul 28 · 21:30L. Tonar1.3891111123J. Tazler2.801156101
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