TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12470458
Played Aug 22Finished
David Sidletskyi
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012911611––––
Lukas Tonar
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:07 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDavid Sidletskyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDavid Sidletskyi above · Lukas Tonar below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 59 set 3, 6-11 — our read held David Sidletskyi at 54.0%
59 points played in total.
H2H David Sidletskyi 0–1 Lukas Tonar David Sidletskyi has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:07What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Sidletskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Sidletskyi 1601 vs Tonar 1576
Sidletskyi
Wrong
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sidletskyi 60% vs Tonar 20%
Sidletskyi
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sidletskyi 50% vs Tonar 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sidletskyi -1 · Tonar -3
Tonar
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Sidletskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tonar form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSidletskyi 1.67 / Tonar 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Sidletskyi)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12470458
Sidletskyi1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Tonar2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 21 of 48
Down 0–1, comes back24% 6 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSidletskyi0wins
AwayTonar1wins
Tonar leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricSidletskyiTonarS − TBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match25.034.0−9.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSidletskyiTonarBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 11 vs 131 / 27245.5%48.2%5 / 11 vs 131 / 272Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.635.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SidletskyiSidletskyi 1.67/Tonar 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Sidletskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Tonar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 22 · 20:30D. Sidletskyi—10960L. Tonar—1211113
D. Sidletskyi10
LAug 23 · 13:30D. Sidletskyi1.497870V. Cermak2.451111113WAug 23 · 12:00M. Regner1.73511591D. Sidletskyi2.0011911113WAug 23 · 11:00M. Sedlak2.2062111132D. Sidletskyi1.61111189113WAug 23 · 10:30D. Sidletskyi1.281111113V. Cermak3.505670LAug 23 · 03:30D. Hofman1.5011411113D. Sidletskyi2.50911451WAug 23 · 02:00M. Pikous1.5091141182D. Sidletskyi2.50116119113WAug 23 · 24:30D. Sidletskyi2.631311511113R. Wagner1.44119111382LAug 22 · 23:00D. Sidletskyi1.908811111D. Hofman1.8011113133WAug 22 · 22:00M. Skakal1.673860D. Sidletskyi2.101111113WAug 22 · 20:58L. Tonar1.83911111072D. Sidletskyi1.83119412113
L. Tonar10
LAug 22 · 20:58L. Tonar1.83911111072D. Sidletskyi1.83119412113LAug 22 · 19:30L. Tonar1.7351040D. Hofman2.001112113LAug 22 · 18:30R. Wagner1.441111113L. Tonar2.632680LJul 30 · 21:00L. Tonar1.61981121K. Kapras2.2011115113WJul 30 · 20:30L. Tonar1.57111139113K. Kapras2.2575111192LJul 30 · 19:00L. Tonar1.67511581J. Tazler2.1011411113LJul 30 · 18:00V. Vejvoda1.61491111113L. Tonar2.2011117992WJul 28 · 21:30L. Tonar1.3891111123J. Tazler2.801156101WJul 28 · 20:30A. Brazda1.4011119682L. Tonar2.75981111113WJul 28 · 19:30L. Tonar1.911111113K. Kapras1.806490
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