TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12473825
Played Aug 23Finished
David Sidletskyi
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
13111195111113118
Richard Wagner
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:54 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeRichard Wagner to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDavid Sidletskyi above · Richard Wagner below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 103 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Richard Wagner at 56.2%
103 points played in total.
H2H David Sidletskyi 0–1 Richard Wagner David Sidletskyi has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 02:54What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Wagner
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Sidletskyi 1634 vs Wagner 1748
Wagner
Wrong
both rated, 114 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sidletskyi 40% vs Wagner 80%
Wagner
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sidletskyi 50% vs Wagner 70%
Wagner
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sidletskyi -1 · Wagner +3
Wagner
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Wagner) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wagner form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSidletskyi 2.63 / Wagner 1.44
Signal prob.34% / 67%
Edge (Wagner)+2.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12473825
Sidletskyi2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Wagner1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 44 of 82
Up 2–0, closes it100% 26 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it75% 36 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSidletskyi0wins
AwayWagner1wins
Wagner leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricSidletskyiWagnerS − WBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match20.030.0−10.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSidletskyiWagnerBasisWin rate · lifetime7 / 14 vs 77 / 14850%52%7 / 14 vs 77 / 148Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.235.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WagnerSidletskyi 2.63/Wagner 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.5%
Wagner · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sidletskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 22 · 19:00D. Sidletskyi—7940R. Wagner—111183
D. Sidletskyi10
LAug 23 · 13:30D. Sidletskyi1.497870V. Cermak2.451111113WAug 23 · 12:00M. Regner1.73511591D. Sidletskyi2.0011911113WAug 23 · 11:00M. Sedlak2.2062111132D. Sidletskyi1.61111189113WAug 23 · 10:30D. Sidletskyi1.281111113V. Cermak3.505670LAug 23 · 03:30D. Hofman1.5011411113D. Sidletskyi2.50911451WAug 23 · 02:00M. Pikous1.5091141182D. Sidletskyi2.50116119113LAug 22 · 23:00D. Sidletskyi1.908811111D. Hofman1.8011113133WAug 22 · 22:00M. Skakal1.673860D. Sidletskyi2.101111113WAug 22 · 20:58L. Tonar1.83911111072D. Sidletskyi1.83119412113LAug 22 · 20:30D. Sidletskyi1.6710960L. Tonar2.101211113
R. Wagner10
WSep 5 · 21:28R. Wagner1.611111113R. Pacha2.206780WSep 5 · 20:00R. Wagner1.5051116123K. Schopf2.5011714101WSep 5 · 19:30D. Hofman2.101011711102R. Wagner1.67126119123WSep 5 · 18:00R. Wagner1.61111111113R. Pacha2.20613691LSep 5 · 16:59R. Wagner1.775560M. Pikous1.931111113LSep 5 · 16:00M. Sychra1.7311911113R. Wagner2.00911791LSep 5 · 15:00M. Pikous2.20101111123R. Wagner1.611288101WSep 5 · 14:30R. Wagner1.7313911113D. Hofman2.001111781WSep 4 · 13:00R. Wagner1.671191111113P. Saleny2.1013115452LSep 4 · 12:00V. Vejvoda2.50111013113R. Wagner1.508121151
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