TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12470673
Played Aug 22Finished
David Sidletskyi
Home
1.90
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8118111131113––
Denis Hofman
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:35 and never touched — 59.8% is still 59.8%
Graded at full timeDenis Hofman to win
59.8%
59.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Sidletskyi above · Denis Hofman below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 76 set 4, 11-13 — our read held Denis Hofman at 59.8%
76 points played in total.
H2H David Sidletskyi 1–0 Denis Hofman Denis Hofman has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:35What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Hofman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Sidletskyi 1656 vs Hofman 1687
Hofman
Correct
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sidletskyi 60% vs Hofman 40%
Sidletskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sidletskyi 50% vs Hofman 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sidletskyi +2 · Hofman -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hofman) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hofman form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSidletskyi 1.90 / Hofman 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Hofman)+2.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12470673
Sidletskyi1.90
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Hofman1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite52% won 73 of 141
Up 2–0, closes it92% 23 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it65% 42 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSidletskyi1wins
AwayHofman0wins
Sidletskyi leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSidletskyiHofmanS − HBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match35.030.0+5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSidletskyiHofmanBasisWin rate · lifetime7 / 13 vs 457 / 95053.9%48.1%7 / 13 vs 457 / 950Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.238.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HofmanSidletskyi 1.90/Hofman 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Hofman · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hofman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 22 · 18:00D. Sidletskyi—1161173D. Hofman—611761
D. Sidletskyi10
LAug 23 · 13:30D. Sidletskyi1.497870V. Cermak2.451111113WAug 23 · 12:00M. Regner1.73511591D. Sidletskyi2.0011911113WAug 23 · 11:00M. Sedlak2.2062111132D. Sidletskyi1.61111189113WAug 23 · 10:30D. Sidletskyi1.281111113V. Cermak3.505670LAug 23 · 03:30D. Hofman1.5011411113D. Sidletskyi2.50911451WAug 23 · 02:00M. Pikous1.5091141182D. Sidletskyi2.50116119113WAug 23 · 24:30D. Sidletskyi2.631311511113R. Wagner1.44119111382WAug 22 · 22:00M. Skakal1.673860D. Sidletskyi2.101111113WAug 22 · 20:58L. Tonar1.83911111072D. Sidletskyi1.83119412113LAug 22 · 20:30D. Sidletskyi1.6710960L. Tonar2.101211113
D. Hofman10
WSep 5 · 20:59D. Hofman1.671011117113K. Schopf2.1012871192LSep 5 · 20:30R. Pacha1.6711118113D. Hofman2.10551161LSep 5 · 19:30D. Hofman2.101011711102R. Wagner1.67126119123WSep 5 · 18:30K. Schopf1.913390D. Hofman1.801111113WSep 5 · 17:29D. Hofman1.671112112113M. Sychra2.0891471192WSep 5 · 16:30M. Pikous2.0081270D. Hofman1.731114113WSep 5 · 15:30D. Hofman2.0011117113M. Sychra1.73641141LSep 5 · 14:30R. Wagner1.7313911113D. Hofman2.001111781WSep 4 · 17:33M. Pikous2.05111081182D. Hofman1.65412113113WAug 23 · 03:30D. Hofman1.5011411113D. Sidletskyi2.50911451
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