TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12318827
Played Jul 30Finished
Viktor Vejvoda
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
411911117119119
Lukas Tonar
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:16 and never touched — 54.6% is still 54.6%
Graded at full timeLukas Tonar to win
54.6%
54.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingViktor Vejvoda above · Lukas Tonar below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 93 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Lukas Tonar at 54.6%
93 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Vejvoda 3–3 Lukas Tonar Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:16What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Vejvoda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vejvoda 1593 vs Tonar 1587
Vejvoda
Correct
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vejvoda 40% vs Tonar 60%
Tonar
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vejvoda 30% vs Tonar 60%
Tonar
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vejvoda +1 · Tonar +3
Tonar
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Vejvoda) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tonar form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVejvoda 1.61 / Tonar 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Vejvoda)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12318827
Vejvoda1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 168 of 259
Up 2–0, closes it96% 85 of 89
Up 1–0, closes it87% 115 of 133
Tonar2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 23 of 50
Down 0–1, comes back27% 7 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeVejvoda3wins
AwayTonar3wins
1 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVejvoda100%3 of 3
AwayTonar100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vejvoda3Tonar3n = 6split evenly
S2Vejvoda3Tonar3n = 6split evenly
S3Vejvoda3Tonar3n = 6split evenly
S4Vejvoda3Tonar1n = 4Vejvoda took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricVejvodaTonarV − TBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match35.736.2−0.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVejvodaTonarBasisWin rate · lifetime437 / 826 vs 140 / 29352.9%47.8%437 / 826 vs 140 / 293Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.336.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VejvodaVejvoda 1.61/Tonar 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Vejvoda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vejvoda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WApr 22 · 19:00V. Vejvoda—11811113L. Tonar—711771
WApr 19 · 19:00V. Vejvoda—1112123L. Tonar—810100
LJan 18 · 09:57V. Vejvoda—811851L. Tonar—11811113
LJan 18 · 09:30V. Vejvoda—9650L. Tonar—1111113
LApr 18 · 06:00V. Vejvoda—711311122L. Tonar—119117143
WApr 12 · 14:30V. Vejvoda—11911113L. Tonar—411971
V. Vejvoda10
WSep 7 · 02:58V. Vejvoda1.67118118123J. Tazler2.10911511102LSep 7 · 02:30J. Louda1.731412113V. Vejvoda2.00121080WSep 7 · 01:00K. Schopf2.7534100V. Vejvoda1.401111123LSep 6 · 23:30V. Vejvoda1.6711116862M. Sychra2.10761111113WSep 6 · 22:00V. Vejvoda1.731212123J. Tazler2.001010100LSep 6 · 09:30M. Klement1.651111128113V. Vejvoda2.10138101162WSep 6 · 08:00V. Vejvoda2.251111133M. Wagner1.5773110LSep 6 · 07:30M. Klement1.6111811113V. Vejvoda2.20511591WSep 6 · 06:00V. Vejvoda1.5711127113P. Saleny2.255101151LSep 5 · 09:30V. Nohejl1.7311117113V. Vejvoda2.00571171
L. Tonar10
LAug 22 · 20:58L. Tonar1.83911111072D. Sidletskyi1.83119412113WAug 22 · 20:30D. Sidletskyi1.6710960L. Tonar2.101211113LAug 22 · 19:30L. Tonar1.7351040D. Hofman2.001112113LAug 22 · 18:30R. Wagner1.441111113L. Tonar2.632680LJul 30 · 21:00L. Tonar1.61981121K. Kapras2.2011115113WJul 30 · 20:30L. Tonar1.57111139113K. Kapras2.2575111192LJul 30 · 19:00L. Tonar1.67511581J. Tazler2.1011411113WJul 28 · 21:30L. Tonar1.3891111123J. Tazler2.801156101WJul 28 · 20:30A. Brazda1.4011119682L. Tonar2.75981111113WJul 28 · 19:30L. Tonar1.911111113K. Kapras1.806490
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