TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12333568
Played Jul 30Finished
Lukas Tonar
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911811115211––
Karel Kapras
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingLukas Tonar above · Karel Kapras below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 2-11
Point 68 set 4, 2-11
68 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Tonar 7–8 Karel Kapras Lukas Tonar has won 7 of their 15 meetings.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Tonar)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kapras form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTonar 1.61 / Kapras 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Tonar)+1.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12333568
Tonar1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite51% won 29 of 57
Up 2–0, closes it88% 14 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it63% 19 of 30
Kapras2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog34% won 15 of 44
Down 0–1, comes back19% 5 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTonar6wins
AwayKapras4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderTonar leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTonar55.6%5 of 9
AwayKaprasn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tonar9Kapras1n = 10Tonar took 9 of 10
S2Tonar6Kapras4n = 10Tonar took 6 of 10
S3Tonar5Kapras5n = 10split evenly
S4Tonar3Kapras5n = 8Kapras took 5 of 8
S5Tonar2Kapras3n = 5Kapras took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTonarKaprasT − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match42.136.8+5.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTonarKaprasBasisWin rate · lifetime140 / 295 vs 183 / 36047.5%50.8%140 / 295 vs 183 / 360Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.037.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TonarTonar 1.61/Kapras 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.7%
Tonar · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kapras won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 28 · 19:30L. Tonar—1111113K. Kapras—6490
WJun 30 · 18:30L. Tonar—1111113K. Kapras—5250
WApr 8 · 21:00L. Tonar—111189113K. Kapras—95111152
WApr 8 · 18:30L. Tonar—11711113K. Kapras—711571
LMar 25 · 19:00L. Tonar—112691K. Kapras—61111113
WFeb 28 · 19:30L. Tonar—812711113K. Kapras—111011552
LFeb 24 · 22:03L. Tonar—11811372K. Kapras—611611113
LFeb 24 · 19:30L. Tonar—1111111262K. Kapras—461314113
WDec 14 · 09:00L. Tonar—111011113K. Kapras—912951
LOct 27 · 19:00L. Tonar—1211128112K. Kapras—1091411133
L. Tonar10
LAug 22 · 20:58L. Tonar1.83911111072D. Sidletskyi1.83119412113WAug 22 · 20:30D. Sidletskyi1.6710960L. Tonar2.101211113LAug 22 · 19:30L. Tonar1.7351040D. Hofman2.001112113LAug 22 · 18:30R. Wagner1.441111113L. Tonar2.632680WJul 30 · 20:30L. Tonar1.57111139113K. Kapras2.2575111192LJul 30 · 19:00L. Tonar1.67511581J. Tazler2.1011411113LJul 30 · 18:00V. Vejvoda1.61491111113L. Tonar2.2011117992WJul 28 · 21:30L. Tonar1.3891111123J. Tazler2.801156101WJul 28 · 20:30A. Brazda1.4011119682L. Tonar2.75981111113WJul 28 · 19:30L. Tonar1.911111113K. Kapras1.806490
K. Kapras10
LSep 1 · 21:28D. Tuma1.91128511113K. Kapras1.80101111492LSep 1 · 20:30D. Tuma2.20117117113K. Kapras1.6141161152WSep 1 · 19:30K. Kapras2.1071111113J. Stolfa1.67119651LSep 1 · 18:30S. Kadavy2.00111410123K. Kapras1.7391212101WAug 26 · 20:59J. Hradecky1.91611671K. Kapras1.8011511113LAug 26 · 20:00K. Kapras2.259440V. Cermak1.571111113WAug 26 · 19:30J. Hradecky1.83691241K. Kapras1.83111110113LAug 26 · 18:30K. Kapras1.5371080M. Sobisek2.381112113LJul 30 · 20:30L. Tonar1.57111139113K. Kapras2.2575111192LJul 28 · 19:30L. Tonar1.911111113K. Kapras1.806490
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