TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13126522
Played Sep 13Finished
Lukas Tonar
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
3111191311117––
Martin Sychra
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingLukas Tonar above · Martin Sychra below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 76 set 4, 11-7
76 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Tonar 17–11 Martin Sychra Martin Sychra has won 11 of their 28 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Tonar beat Sychra 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Tonar)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tonar form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTonar 1.67 / Sychra 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Tonar)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13126522
Tonar1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite51% won 21 of 41
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it64% 14 of 22
Sychra2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 151 of 326
Down 0–1, comes back27% 46 of 173
Down 0–2, comes back8% 8 of 99
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTonar7wins
AwaySychra3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderTonar leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTonar66.7%4 of 6
AwaySychra25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tonar6Sychra4n = 10Tonar took 6 of 10
S2Tonar5Sychra5n = 10split evenly
S3Tonar8Sychra2n = 10Tonar took 8 of 10
S4Tonar6Sychra3n = 9Tonar took 6 of 9
S5Tonar1Sychra2n = 3Sychra took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTonarSychraT − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match44.336.2+8.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTonarSychraBasisWin rate · lifetime126 / 260 vs 803 / 152448.5%52.7%126 / 260 vs 803 / 1524Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.138.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TonarTonar 1.67/Sychra 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Tonar · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Tonar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 19 · 21:29L. Tonar491161011113M. Sychra3541112622
LJun 19 · 19:00L. Tonar4712714862M. Sychra5510111211113
LJun 5 · 18:30L. Tonar4410151181M. Sychra4412174113
WMay 29 · 20:00L. Tonar4513912113M. Sychra4011111081
WApr 19 · 16:00L. Tonar331111113M. Sychra177820
LMar 27 · 20:00L. Tonar541113118112M. Sychra557111311133
WMar 27 · 17:00L. Tonar4181111113M. Sychra29117561
WMar 8 · 19:30L. Tonar47111114113M. Sychra351351251
WFeb 22 · 21:59L. Tonar4111811113M. Sychra23611421
WFeb 22 · 21:30L. Tonar4291111113M. Sychra29113871
L. Tonar10
LSep 13 · 20:30R. Pacha1.44111111113L. Tonar2.63613771LSep 13 · 19:30L. Tonar2.0099111142J. Tazler1.73111176113WSep 13 · 18:30M. Sychra1.831144101L. Tonar1.8371111123LAug 22 · 20:58L. Tonar1.83911111072D. Sidletskyi1.83119412113WAug 22 · 20:30D. Sidletskyi1.6710960L. Tonar2.101211113LAug 22 · 19:30L. Tonar1.7351040D. Hofman2.001112113LAug 22 · 18:30R. Wagner1.441111113L. Tonar2.632680LJul 30 · 21:00L. Tonar1.61981121K. Kapras2.2011115113WJul 30 · 20:30L. Tonar1.57111139113K. Kapras2.2575111192LJul 30 · 19:00L. Tonar1.67511581J. Tazler2.1011411113
M. Sychra10
LSep 13 · 20:00J. Tazler1.911111113M. Sychra1.805990WSep 13 · 19:00R. Pacha1.73108121192M. Sychra2.001211109113LSep 13 · 18:30M. Sychra1.831144101L. Tonar1.8371111123WSep 12 · 13:01M. Sychra1.8571111123S. Kasnik1.851155101LSep 12 · 12:00M. Regner1.8311119113M. Sychra1.83881141WSep 12 · 11:00S. Kasnik1.738911101M. Sychra2.0011119123LSep 12 · 10:30M. Sychra2.504511101P. Saleny1.5011117123WSep 12 · 09:30M. Sychra1.6781111133M. Klement2.101177111LSep 12 · 08:30M. Klement2.38118116113M. Sychra1.5391131162WSep 12 · 07:30M. Sychra2.7551111113P. Saleny1.40119881
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