TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13120353
Played Sep 14Finished
Martin Sychra
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012118511711––
Michal Vondrak
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:14 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeMichal Vondrak to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Sychra above · Michal Vondrak below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 75 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Michal Vondrak at 54.9%
75 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sychra 28–37 Michal Vondrak Martin Sychra has won 28 of their 65 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:14What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Vondrak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-37 in 65
Vondrak
Correct
gap of 9 in 65, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sychra 1609 vs Vondrak 1671
Vondrak
Correct
both rated, 62 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sychra 20% vs Vondrak 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sychra 30% vs Vondrak 60%
Vondrak
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sychra -4 · Vondrak -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Vondrak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vondrak form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSychra 2.00 / Vondrak 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Vondrak)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13120353
Sychra2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 151 of 326
Down 0–1, comes back27% 46 of 173
Down 0–2, comes back8% 8 of 99
Vondrak1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 55 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it86% 19 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it70% 33 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSychra5wins
AwayVondrak5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSychra75%3 of 4
AwayVondrak66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sychra4Vondrak6n = 10Vondrak took 6 of 10
S2Sychra5Vondrak5n = 10split evenly
S3Sychra4Vondrak6n = 10Vondrak took 6 of 10
S4Sychra6Vondrak4n = 10Sychra took 6 of 10
S5Sychra3Vondrak2n = 5Sychra took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSychraVondrakS − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match42.042.6−0.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSychraVondrakBasisWin rate · lifetime803 / 1527 vs 312 / 64352.6%48.5%803 / 1527 vs 312 / 643Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VondrakSychra 2.00/Vondrak 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Vondrak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vondrak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 28 · 08:00M. Sychra4211911113M. Vondrak37911981
WAug 16 · 18:30M. Sychra48711118113M. Vondrak4711791192
LAug 1 · 12:00M. Sychra33811951M. Vondrak3611311113
LJul 30 · 07:30M. Sychra46116111172M. Vondrak52911138113
LJul 29 · 12:59M. Sychra33511981M. Vondrak4111811113
WJul 29 · 12:30M. Sychra47119511113M. Vondrak4581111872
WJul 18 · 20:00M. Sychra491110611113M. Vondrak4381211482
LJul 18 · 17:30M. Sychra27831151M. Vondrak4211119113
LJul 18 · 16:00M. Sychra4791171192M. Vondrak41116112113
WJul 3 · 09:00M. Sychra4891513113M. Vondrak4211131171
M. Sychra10
LSep 14 · 02:00M. Sychra1.67541321M. Klement2.10111111113LSep 14 · 24:00R. Wagner1.9111116113M. Sychra1.80971161LSep 13 · 22:30J. Tazler1.911111113M. Sychra1.805420LSep 13 · 20:59L. Tonar1.6731113113M. Sychra2.101191171LSep 13 · 20:00J. Tazler1.911111113M. Sychra1.805990WSep 13 · 19:00R. Pacha1.73108121192M. Sychra2.001211109113LSep 13 · 18:30M. Sychra1.831144101L. Tonar1.8371111123WSep 12 · 13:01M. Sychra1.8571111123S. Kasnik1.851155101LSep 12 · 12:00M. Regner1.8311119113M. Sychra1.83881141WSep 12 · 11:00S. Kasnik1.738911101M. Sychra2.0011119123
M. Vondrak10
WSep 14 · 02:30R. Wagner1.6111490M. Vondrak2.201311113LSep 13 · 23:30M. Vondrak1.5311680J. Tazler2.381311113LSep 13 · 22:00M. Vondrak2.00115111572M. Klement1.73711517113LSep 9 · 21:28J. Louda1.44131112113M. Vondrak2.631591051LSep 9 · 20:00R. Rose1.801111113M. Vondrak1.913180WSep 9 · 19:00J. Louda1.4012811982M. Vondrak2.751011511113WSep 9 · 18:30M. Vondrak1.5711117113M. Sychra2.25971131WSep 4 · 09:30M. Vondrak1.5711155113M. Regner2.259131161WSep 4 · 08:30M. Regner2.10118871M. Vondrak1.6791111113WSep 4 · 07:30M. Vondrak1.401111113J. Stolfa2.759790
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