TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13134984
Played Sep 16Finished
Michal Vondrak
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1181157117111012
Viktor Vejvoda
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:08 and never touched — 56.7% is still 56.7%
Graded at full timeMichal Vondrak to win
56.7%
56.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Vondrak above · Viktor Vejvoda below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 93 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Michal Vondrak at 56.7%
93 points played in total.
H2H Michal Vondrak 14–21 Viktor Vejvoda Michal Vondrak has won 14 of their 35 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:08What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Vejvoda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-21 in 35
Vejvoda
Correct
gap of 7 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vondrak 1695 vs Vejvoda 1688
Vondrak
Wrong
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vondrak 40% vs Vejvoda 60%
Vejvoda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vondrak 50% vs Vejvoda 30%
Vondrak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vondrak -1 · Vejvoda +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vejvoda) · live re-read · sealed at 43% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVondrak 2.00 / Vejvoda 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Vejvoda)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13134984
Vondrak2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 64 of 141
Down 0–1, comes back32% 23 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 34
Vejvoda1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 161 of 268
Up 2–0, closes it92% 78 of 85
Up 1–0, closes it84% 107 of 128
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVondrak3wins
AwayVejvoda7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderVejvoda leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVondrak50%3 of 6
AwayVejvoda100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vondrak6Vejvoda4n = 10Vondrak took 6 of 10
S2Vondrak1Vejvoda9n = 10Vejvoda took 9 of 10
S3Vondrak5Vejvoda5n = 10split evenly
S4Vondrak4Vejvoda4n = 8split evenly
S5Vondrak1Vejvoda3n = 4Vejvoda took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVondrakVejvodaVondrak − VejvodaBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.041.2−2.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVondrakVejvodaBasisWin rate · lifetime314 / 646 vs 457 / 88248.6%51.8%314 / 646 vs 457 / 882Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VejvodaVondrak 2.00/Vejvoda 1.73
Hit
What we said
54.1%
Vejvoda · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vejvoda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 12:00M. Vondrak2481060V. Vejvoda341112113
LAug 16 · 16:00M. Vondrak426817111V. Vejvoda50111115133
LAug 1 · 13:30M. Vondrak4911991192V. Vejvoda45411118113
LAug 1 · 10:00M. Vondrak4611781192V. Vejvoda46711116113
LJul 28 · 21:00M. Vondrak29118100V. Vejvoda361311123
WJul 28 · 18:00M. Vondrak4311711143V. Vejvoda377117121
LJul 28 · 17:00M. Vondrak28631181V. Vejvoda4011117113
WJul 28 · 14:30M. Vondrak3811115113V. Vejvoda30861151
LJul 25 · 14:30M. Vondrak4611413992V. Vejvoda506111111113
WJul 25 · 13:00M. Vondrak45118114113V. Vejvoda4491151182
M. Vondrak10
LSep 14 · 02:58M. Vondrak2.00511851R. Wagner1.7311911113WSep 14 · 02:30R. Wagner1.6111490M. Vondrak2.201311113WSep 14 · 01:00M. Sychra2.001011571M. Vondrak1.7312811113LSep 13 · 23:30M. Vondrak1.5311680J. Tazler2.381311113LSep 13 · 22:00M. Vondrak2.00115111572M. Klement1.73711517113LSep 9 · 21:28J. Louda1.44131112113M. Vondrak2.631591051LSep 9 · 20:00R. Rose1.801111113M. Vondrak1.913180WSep 9 · 19:00J. Louda1.4012811982M. Vondrak2.751011511113WSep 9 · 18:30M. Vondrak1.5711117113M. Sychra2.25971131WSep 4 · 09:30M. Vondrak1.5711155113M. Regner2.259131161
V. Vejvoda10
WSep 16 · 09:30M. Klement1.65871191V. Vejvoda2.1011117113WSep 16 · 08:00J. Tazler2.2011890V. Vejvoda1.611311113LSep 16 · 07:00M. Klement1.671111123V. Vejvoda2.1076100WSep 16 · 06:30V. Vejvoda1.8381211113J. Zuzanek1.831110641LSep 12 · 08:58M. Wagner1.671114113V. Vejvoda2.1061280LSep 12 · 08:00V. Vejvoda2.381114291V. Svechota1.5371611113LSep 12 · 07:30M. Wagner1.8311116113V. Vejvoda1.83961161LSep 12 · 06:00V. Vejvoda2.009970O. Svacha1.731111113LSep 9 · 13:00V. Vejvoda1.7391017101P. Saleny2.00111215123LSep 9 · 12:30F. Pusch1.6711111115123V. Vejvoda2.10138417102
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