TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13114719
Played Sep 12Finished
Mark Robin Wagner
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119116611116––
Viktor Vejvoda
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:10 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMark Robin Wagner to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMark Robin Wagner above · Viktor Vejvoda below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 71 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Mark Robin Wagner at 54.0%
71 points played in total.
H2H Mark Robin Wagner 3–3 Viktor Vejvoda Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:10What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Vejvoda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wagner 1746 vs Vejvoda 1707
Wagner
Correct
both rated, 39 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wagner 60% vs Vejvoda 20%
Wagner
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wagner 60% vs Vejvoda 30%
Wagner
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wagner -1 · Vejvoda -3
Vejvoda
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Wagner)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vejvoda form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWagner 1.83 / Vejvoda 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Wagner)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13114719
Wagner1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Vejvoda1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeWagner3wins
AwayVejvoda3wins
Level at 3–3.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWagner100%3 of 3
AwayVejvoda100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wagner3Vejvoda3n = 6split evenly
S2Wagner3Vejvoda3n = 6split evenly
S3Wagner2Vejvoda4n = 6Vejvoda took 4 of 6
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away350%
These 6 meetings
MetricWagnerVejvodaW − VBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match30.530.0+0.5per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWagnerVejvodaBasisWin rate · lifetime89 / 158 vs 455 / 88156.3%51.7%89 / 158 vs 455 / 881Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WagnerWagner 1.83/Vejvoda 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Wagner · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Wagner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 12 · 07:30M. Wagner—11116113V. Vejvoda—961161
LSep 6 · 08:00M. Wagner—73110V. Vejvoda—1111133
WAug 27 · 10:00M. Wagner—1111113V. Vejvoda—6970
LAug 27 · 06:30M. Wagner—1013100V. Vejvoda—1215123
LAug 6 · 11:30M. Wagner—9860V. Vejvoda—1111113
WAug 6 · 07:30M. Wagner—1211113V. Vejvoda—10540
M. Wagner10
LSep 12 · 06:30V. Svechota1.57111157113M. Wagner2.2563111182WSep 10 · 03:30J. Ruzicka1.801371251M. Wagner1.90111114113WSep 10 · 02:00R. Urbaniec2.38691191M. Wagner1.5311116113WSep 10 · 24:30M. Wagner1.80711511113O. Svacha1.9111811992LSep 9 · 23:00M. Wagner2.008101151J. Ruzicka1.7311126113WSep 9 · 22:00S. Kasnik1.65111182102M. Wagner2.10321111123LSep 6 · 13:30A. Brazda1.7311116143M. Wagner2.006911121LSep 6 · 12:00A. Brazda1.7311911113M. Wagner2.00711771WSep 6 · 11:00J. Louda2.101081581M. Wagner1.67121113113WSep 6 · 10:30M. Wagner1.7310101112123P. Saleny1.881212710102
V. Vejvoda10
LSep 12 · 08:00V. Vejvoda2.381114291V. Svechota1.5371611113LSep 12 · 06:00V. Vejvoda2.009970O. Svacha1.731111113LSep 9 · 13:00V. Vejvoda1.7391017101P. Saleny2.00111215123LSep 9 · 12:30F. Pusch1.6711111115123V. Vejvoda2.10138417102WSep 9 · 11:30V. Vejvoda1.61131111113P. Saleny2.201181391LSep 9 · 10:30R. Wagner1.618111210143V. Vejvoda2.201161012122WSep 9 · 09:00R. Wagner1.5381070V. Vejvoda2.381112113LSep 9 · 08:00V. Vejvoda1.9110360F. Pusch1.801211113LSep 9 · 07:30P. Saleny2.381111113V. Vejvoda1.535870LSep 9 · 06:00V. Vejvoda2.20791481R. Wagner1.61111112113
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