TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13139501
Played Sep 16Finished
Milan Klement
Home
1.65
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811711117911––
Viktor Vejvoda
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:05 and never touched — 57.3% is still 57.3%
Graded at full timeMilan Klement to win
57.3%
57.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMilan Klement above · Viktor Vejvoda below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 75 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Milan Klement at 57.3%
75 points played in total.
H2H Milan Klement 34–27 Viktor Vejvoda Viktor Vejvoda has won 27 of their 61 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Klement beat Vejvoda 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:05What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.65 (56%)
Klement
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
34-27 in 61
Klement
Wrong
gap of 7 in 61, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Klement 1646 vs Vejvoda 1688
Vejvoda
Correct
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Klement 60% vs Vejvoda 40%
Klement
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Klement 60% vs Vejvoda 30%
Klement
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Klement -1 · Vejvoda +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Klement) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKlement 1.65 / Vejvoda 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Klement)-2.0pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13139501
Klement1.65
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 108 of 192
Up 2–0, closes it91% 57 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it71% 78 of 110
Vejvoda2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 81 of 204
Down 0–1, comes back21% 24 of 117
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKlement6wins
AwayVejvoda4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKlement leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKlement83.3%5 of 6
AwayVejvoda75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Klement6Vejvoda4n = 10Klement took 6 of 10
S2Klement5Vejvoda5n = 10split evenly
S3Klement5Vejvoda5n = 10split evenly
S4Klement5Vejvoda4n = 9Klement took 5 of 9
S5Klement2Vejvoda1n = 3Klement took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKlementVejvodaK − VBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.138.1+3.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKlementVejvodaBasisWin rate · lifetime452 / 885 vs 457 / 88251.1%51.8%452 / 885 vs 457 / 882Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.237.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KlementKlement 1.65/Vejvoda 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Klement · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vejvoda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 16 · 09:30M. Klement35871191V. Vejvoda4011117113
WSep 16 · 07:00M. Klement341111123V. Vejvoda2376100
WSep 6 · 09:30M. Klement531111128113V. Vejvoda48138101162
WSep 6 · 07:30M. Klement4111811113V. Vejvoda30511591
LSep 1 · 22:00M. Klement3910811101V. Vejvoda4312118123
LAug 30 · 22:00M. Klement3611105101V. Vejvoda4491211123
WAug 24 · 22:00M. Klement3711114113V. Vejvoda31861161
WAug 24 · 06:00M. Klement3911116113V. Vejvoda24341161
WAug 9 · 22:00M. Klement45114811113V. Vejvoda4381111762
LAug 5 · 18:00M. Klement521012812102V. Vejvoda5512101110123
M. Klement10
LSep 16 · 08:30M. Klement1.5011711942J. Zuzanek2.50911911113WSep 16 · 07:00M. Klement1.671111123V. Vejvoda2.1076100WSep 16 · 06:00J. Tazler1.5711791172M. Klement2.25711117113LSep 14 · 03:30J. Tazler2.0711119113M. Klement1.65751181WSep 14 · 02:00M. Sychra1.67541321M. Klement2.10111111113WSep 14 · 24:30M. Klement1.611011126123J. Tazler2.201281011102LSep 13 · 23:00M. Klement2.38811981R. Wagner1.5311911113WSep 13 · 22:00M. Vondrak2.00115111572M. Klement1.73711517113LSep 12 · 09:30M. Sychra1.6781111133M. Klement2.101177111WSep 12 · 08:30M. Klement2.38118116113M. Sychra1.5391131162
V. Vejvoda10
WSep 16 · 10:00M. Vondrak2.00111177102V. Vejvoda1.73851111123WSep 16 · 08:00J. Tazler2.2011890V. Vejvoda1.611311113LSep 16 · 07:00M. Klement1.671111123V. Vejvoda2.1076100WSep 16 · 06:30V. Vejvoda1.8381211113J. Zuzanek1.831110641LSep 12 · 08:58M. Wagner1.671114113V. Vejvoda2.1061280LSep 12 · 08:00V. Vejvoda2.381114291V. Svechota1.5371611113LSep 12 · 07:30M. Wagner1.8311116113V. Vejvoda1.83961161LSep 12 · 06:00V. Vejvoda2.009970O. Svacha1.731111113LSep 9 · 13:00V. Vejvoda1.7391017101P. Saleny2.00111215123LSep 9 · 12:30F. Pusch1.6711111115123V. Vejvoda2.10138417102
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