TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13058904
Played Sep 1Finished
Jakub Tazler
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1412118411811116
Jiri Zuzanek
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:52 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Tazler to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Tazler above · Jiri Zuzanek below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 96 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Jakub Tazler at 54.0%
96 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Tazler 25–23 Jiri Zuzanek Jiri Zuzanek has won 23 of their 48 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:52What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Tazler
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-23 in 48
Tazler
Correct
gap of 2 in 48, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tazler 1660 vs Zuzanek 1615
Tazler
Correct
both rated, 45 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tazler 80% vs Zuzanek 60%
Tazler
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tazler 60% vs Zuzanek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tazler +2 · Zuzanek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Tazler)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tazler form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTazler 1.73 / Zuzanek 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Tazler)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13058904
Tazler1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 91 of 155
Up 2–0, closes it92% 45 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it77% 72 of 93
Zuzanek2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 124 of 264
Down 0–1, comes back30% 38 of 129
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTazler8wins
AwayZuzanek2wins
5 of 10 to a deciderTazler leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTazler100%6 of 6
AwayZuzanek50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tazler6Zuzanek4n = 10Tazler took 6 of 10
S2Tazler3Zuzanek7n = 10Zuzanek took 7 of 10
S3Tazler8Zuzanek2n = 10Tazler took 8 of 10
S4Tazler6Zuzanek3n = 9Tazler took 6 of 9
S5Tazler4Zuzanek1n = 5Tazler took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTazlerZuzanekT − ZBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.638.4+4.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTazlerZuzanekBasisWin rate · lifetime382 / 704 vs 563 / 112054.3%50.3%382 / 704 vs 563 / 1120Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TazlerTazler 1.73/Zuzanek 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Tazler · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Tazler won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 13:30J. Tazler—141148113J. Zuzanek—128111162
WSep 1 · 12:30J. Tazler—13117113J. Zuzanek—1171141
WAug 31 · 13:28J. Tazler—1113123J. Zuzanek—511100
WAug 31 · 10:30J. Tazler—11812113J. Zuzanek—7111081
LAug 31 · 08:58J. Tazler—88111192J. Zuzanek—111177113
WAug 31 · 06:00J. Tazler—114118113J. Zuzanek—61191182
WAug 5 · 01:00J. Tazler—11911113J. Zuzanek—411551
LAug 3 · 08:00J. Tazler—771141J. Zuzanek—11118113
WJul 30 · 16:58J. Tazler—881111113J. Zuzanek—11116482
WJul 30 · 14:00J. Tazler—761111113J. Zuzanek—11117952
J. Tazler10
LSep 7 · 02:58V. Vejvoda1.67118118123J. Tazler2.10911511102WSep 7 · 02:00K. Schopf2.385430J. Tazler1.531111113LSep 7 · 24:30J. Tazler2.001111991M. Sychra1.7313511113LSep 6 · 23:00J. Tazler2.38811111482J. Louda1.531191312113LSep 6 · 22:00V. Vejvoda1.731212123J. Tazler2.001010100WSep 6 · 17:00K. Schopf2.206440J. Tazler1.611111113LSep 6 · 16:30J. Tazler2.25149511122M. Pikous1.571211119143WSep 6 · 15:00J. Tazler1.57118165113K. Schopf2.25411141142LSep 6 · 14:00R. Rose1.571311113J. Tazler2.2511870WSep 6 · 03:30J. Tazler1.671112123K. Schopf2.10310100
J. Zuzanek10
LSep 1 · 12:30J. Zuzanek1.911171141J. Tazler1.8013117113WSep 1 · 11:00J. Zuzanek1.911011511113M. Vondrak1.8012911562WSep 1 · 10:00V. Vejvoda1.8311891182J. Zuzanek1.83911118113LAug 31 · 13:28J. Tazler1.831113123J. Zuzanek1.83511100WAug 31 · 12:00M. Sychra1.675550J. Zuzanek2.101111113WAug 31 · 11:00M. Regner1.8041160J. Zuzanek1.911113113LAug 31 · 10:30J. Zuzanek1.807111081J. Tazler1.9111812113WAug 31 · 08:58J. Zuzanek1.80111177113J. Tazler1.9188111192WAug 31 · 08:30J. Zuzanek2.00111136113M. Sychra1.7366111192LAug 31 · 07:00J. Zuzanek2.3821171162M. Wagner1.53117119113
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