TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13046912
Played Aug 31Finished
Jiri Zuzanek
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
211117711119611
Mark Robin Wagner
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:39 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeMark Robin Wagner to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Zuzanek above · Mark Robin Wagner below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 86 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Mark Robin Wagner at 60.9%
86 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Zuzanek 4–6 Mark Robin Wagner Jiri Zuzanek has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:39What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Wagner
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-6 in 10
Wagner
Correct
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zuzanek 1615 vs Wagner 1759
Wagner
Correct
both rated, 144 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zuzanek 20% vs Wagner 60%
Wagner
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zuzanek 40% vs Wagner 70%
Wagner
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zuzanek -3 · Wagner -1
Zuzanek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Wagner) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zuzanek form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZuzanek 2.38 / Wagner 1.53
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Wagner)+3.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13046912
Zuzanek2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 126 of 268
Down 0–1, comes back30% 40 of 133
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 67
Wagner1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite58% won 47 of 81
Up 2–0, closes it92% 22 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it84% 32 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZuzanek4wins
AwayWagner6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderWagner leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZuzanek75%3 of 4
AwayWagner83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zuzanek4Wagner6n = 10Wagner took 6 of 10
S2Zuzanek5Wagner5n = 10split evenly
S3Zuzanek4Wagner6n = 10Wagner took 6 of 10
S4Zuzanek4Wagner3n = 7Zuzanek took 4 of 7
S5Zuzanek1Wagner2n = 3Wagner took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricZuzanekWagnerZ − WBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.136.9−2.8per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZuzanekWagnerBasisWin rate · lifetime563 / 1120 vs 78 / 13850.3%56.5%563 / 1120 vs 78 / 138Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WagnerZuzanek 2.38/Wagner 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64%
Wagner · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Wagner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 07:00J. Zuzanek—21171162M. Wagner—117119113
LAug 27 · 13:30J. Zuzanek—117691M. Wagner—91111113
LAug 27 · 12:30J. Zuzanek—74111462M. Wagner—1111412113
WAug 27 · 08:00J. Zuzanek—1112113M. Wagner—81050
LAug 18 · 01:00J. Zuzanek—721171M. Wagner—11116113
WAug 6 · 12:00J. Zuzanek—611119113M. Wagner—11981182
LAug 6 · 09:27J. Zuzanek—7580M. Wagner—1111113
WAug 6 · 08:30J. Zuzanek—11118113M. Wagner—981161
LJul 22 · 19:30J. Zuzanek—38100M. Wagner—1111123
WJul 20 · 10:00J. Zuzanek—11115113M. Wagner—121151
J. Zuzanek10
LSep 1 · 13:30J. Tazler1.73141148113J. Zuzanek2.00128111162LSep 1 · 12:30J. Zuzanek1.911171141J. Tazler1.8013117113WSep 1 · 11:00J. Zuzanek1.911011511113M. Vondrak1.8012911562WSep 1 · 10:00V. Vejvoda1.8311891182J. Zuzanek1.83911118113LAug 31 · 13:28J. Tazler1.831113123J. Zuzanek1.83511100WAug 31 · 12:00M. Sychra1.675550J. Zuzanek2.101111113WAug 31 · 11:00M. Regner1.8041160J. Zuzanek1.911113113LAug 31 · 10:30J. Zuzanek1.807111081J. Tazler1.9111812113WAug 31 · 08:58J. Zuzanek1.80111177113J. Tazler1.9188111192WAug 31 · 08:30J. Zuzanek2.00111136113M. Sychra1.7366111192
M. Wagner10
LSep 6 · 13:30A. Brazda1.7311116143M. Wagner2.006911121LSep 6 · 12:00A. Brazda1.7311911113M. Wagner2.00711771WSep 6 · 11:00J. Louda2.101081581M. Wagner1.67121113113WSep 6 · 10:30M. Wagner1.7310101112123P. Saleny1.881212710102LSep 6 · 09:00M. Wagner1.401381591P. Saleny2.75111117113LSep 6 · 08:00V. Vejvoda2.251111133M. Wagner1.5773110WSep 6 · 07:00P. Saleny2.2081070M. Wagner1.611112113LSep 6 · 06:30M. Wagner1.5375111192M. Klement2.38111189113LSep 4 · 03:28J. Simecek1.801111113M. Wagner1.918880WSep 4 · 02:30J. Simecek1.73112911102M. Wagner2.00811119123
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