TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13047776
Played Aug 31Finished
Michal Regner
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
4111113611––––
Jiri Zuzanek
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:16 and never touched — 59.4% is still 59.4%
Graded at full timeMichal Regner to win
59.4%
59.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMichal Regner above · Jiri Zuzanek below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 56 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Michal Regner at 59.4%
56 points played in total.
H2H Michal Regner 36–26 Jiri Zuzanek Jiri Zuzanek has won 26 of their 62 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:16What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Regner
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
36-26 in 62
Regner
Wrong
gap of 10 in 62, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Regner 1662 vs Zuzanek 1615
Regner
Wrong
both rated, 48 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Regner 60% vs Zuzanek 40%
Regner
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Regner 40% vs Zuzanek 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Regner -2 · Zuzanek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zuzanek) · live re-read · sealed at 41% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zuzanek form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRegner 1.80 / Zuzanek 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Zuzanek)+5.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13047776
Regner1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite52% won 114 of 220
Up 2–0, closes it93% 56 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it70% 83 of 119
Zuzanek1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 121 of 261
Down 0–1, comes back30% 38 of 128
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRegner2wins
AwayZuzanek8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZuzanek leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRegner20%1 of 5
AwayZuzanek80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Regner5Zuzanek5n = 10split evenly
S2Regner2Zuzanek8n = 10Zuzanek took 8 of 10
S3Regner5Zuzanek5n = 10split evenly
S4Regner2Zuzanek6n = 8Zuzanek took 6 of 8
S5Regner1Zuzanek2n = 3Zuzanek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRegnerZuzanekR − ZBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.139.2−4.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRegnerZuzanekBasisWin rate · lifetime514 / 1063 vs 561 / 112148.4%50%514 / 1063 vs 561 / 1121Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZuzanekRegner 1.80/Zuzanek 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Zuzanek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zuzanek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 20 · 07:30M. Regner—4870J. Zuzanek—1111113
LJul 15 · 10:00M. Regner—611871J. Zuzanek—11611113
WJul 14 · 12:30M. Regner—1111113J. Zuzanek—7560
LJul 8 · 13:30M. Regner—11910101J. Zuzanek—81112123
LJul 8 · 10:00M. Regner—341451J. Zuzanek—111112113
LJun 14 · 23:00M. Regner—11911942J. Zuzanek—811711113
LMay 28 · 09:30M. Regner—1265101J. Zuzanek—101111123
LMay 28 · 06:00M. Regner—971161J. Zuzanek—11115113
WMay 14 · 03:30M. Regner—971111113J. Zuzanek—11114292
LMay 13 · 23:30M. Regner—11651282J. Zuzanek—4111110113
M. Regner10
WSep 6 · 02:59M. Pikous1.738860M. Regner2.001111113WSep 6 · 02:30M. Sychra1.73511931M. Regner2.0011711113LSep 6 · 01:00J. Tazler2.5011811113M. Regner1.50511551LSep 5 · 23:30M. Regner2.25118511102K. Schopf1.57511117123LSep 5 · 22:00M. Regner2.00115861M. Pikous1.7381111113LSep 4 · 09:30M. Vondrak1.5711155113M. Regner2.259131161LSep 4 · 08:30M. Regner2.10118871M. Vondrak1.6791111113WSep 4 · 07:00M. Regner1.73117913113D. Hofman2.00911111162WSep 4 · 06:00J. Stolfa2.204980M. Regner1.611111113WSep 3 · 09:28M. Regner2.2011128113M. Klement1.617101141
J. Zuzanek10
LSep 1 · 13:30J. Tazler1.73141148113J. Zuzanek2.00128111162LSep 1 · 12:30J. Zuzanek1.911171141J. Tazler1.8013117113WSep 1 · 11:00J. Zuzanek1.911011511113M. Vondrak1.8012911562WSep 1 · 10:00V. Vejvoda1.8311891182J. Zuzanek1.83911118113LAug 31 · 13:28J. Tazler1.831113123J. Zuzanek1.83511100WAug 31 · 12:00M. Sychra1.675550J. Zuzanek2.101111113LAug 31 · 10:30J. Zuzanek1.807111081J. Tazler1.9111812113WAug 31 · 08:58J. Zuzanek1.80111177113J. Tazler1.9188111192WAug 31 · 08:30J. Zuzanek2.00111136113M. Sychra1.7366111192LAug 31 · 07:00J. Zuzanek2.3821171162M. Wagner1.53117119113
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